Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/17/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, September 17, 2022

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+245) New York (-295)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-89) are hitting the road to Citi Field on Saturday where they will try to defeat the New York Mets (90-55). The moneyline on this matchup has the Pirates at +245 and the Mets are coming in at -295. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Bryse Wilson and Chris Bassitt.

Pittsburgh is slugging .365 and have been called out on strikes 1,343 times, while taking a walk on 408 occasions. They have accounted for 485 RBI's as well as 1,053 hits this year, and their average at the plate is at .222. The Pirates have tallied 189 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 145 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 516 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .288. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are notching 3.6 runs per outing, which has them at 27th in baseball.

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The Pirates have an ERA of 4.63 for the year (26th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,092 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 514 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.29 as a team over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.12 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.42. Pirates pitchers have allowed 147 home runs and also 721 runs in total (26th in MLB).

The Pirates have dispatched 446 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relievers have inherited 206 base runners for the season and 36.4% of those runners crossed home plate. They have compiled 30 saves on the season and have blown 24 out of their 54 chances to get a save. The Pirates relief pitchers have a save percentage of 55.6% and stepped onto the hill in 121 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 64 holds on the season (22nd in baseball). Pirates pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 135 times in addition to having 146 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accounted for 3,792 putouts for the season, as well as 1,355 assists and 100 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .981 which is 30th in pro baseball, and have 140 double plays. The Pirates have converted 67.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,376 innings on the diamond, ranking them 28th in baseball.

Wilson has taken the hill for 210 innings and has earned 145 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 5.77 (135 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.543. He has allowed 254 base knocks (10.9 hits per 9 innings) with 71 walks. Wilson (9-16 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 5.37 while he has gone up against 941 batters in the major leagues.

The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .410 and they have an average of 4.68 runs per game (6th in MLB). They have hit 248 doubles, while walking 450 times as well as putting up 679 runs. New York has knocked in 150 home runs this year and 645 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,085 occasions (27th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,267 hits. The New York Mets have earned an on-base percentage of .330 and a team batting average of .258 so far this season.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.194 in addition to having a FIP of 3.51 as a unit so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.51 (1,388 strikeouts vs 395 walks). They are sitting at 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,144. They have given up 147 home runs and they give up 3.78 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have given up 542 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 3.54 (507 earned runs allowed).

New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 53 save opportunities and they have earned 38 saves. They sit at 5th in the league with a save percentage of 71.7%, and they have sent 428 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have come in 119 times in high leverage situations and also on 127 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 38.2% out of their 173 inherited base runners. With 128 save situations, the Mets have earned 74 holds in addition to 15 blown saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 115 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in pro baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,228 assists, 64 errors and have 3,869 putouts during this campaign. In 11,607 innings on the field, the Mets hold a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in pro baseball).

Bassitt (44-33 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.46 ERA while giving up 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.97 and he has faced 3,023 batters in his career. He has given up a total of 277 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.199 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. During his career, Bassitt has given up 642 hits while he has totaled 659 strikeouts in 720 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+245)

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