Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 9/30/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, September 30, 2022

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

The Philadelphia Phillies (83-71) are hitting the road to Nationals Park on Friday where they will compete against the Washington Nationals (54-101). The starting pitchers are Bailey Falter and Erick Fedde.

As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.7 runs per outing, which is 7th in MLB. They have earned a total of 717 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .317. The Phillies have hit 243 doubles as a squad and have smacked 195 balls out of the park. They have 691 runs batted in as well as 1,331 hits for the year, and their average at the plate is .254. Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .423 and have been called out on strikes 1,292 times, while drawing a walk on 453 occasions.

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Phillies pitchers have given up 143 home runs and 653 total runs (12th in the league). They have walked 440 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.60 as a team for the season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.09 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 3.95 on the campaign (16th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,358 hitters.

The Phillies relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 69.0% and has entered the game in 144 save situations. The relievers have inherited 188 base runners this year with 33.0% of those runners crossed home plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 126 times and also have had 147 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 497 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The bullpen have racked up 85 holds on the year (11th in baseball). They have compiled 40 saves for the year and have blown 18 of their 58 save chances.

The Phillies have converted 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,270 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 22nd in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 4,090 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,337 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .988 which has them sitting 5th in professional baseball, and they have turned 121 double plays.

Falter has pitched in 110 frames and has earned 102 strikeouts during his MLB career. Falter (7-5 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.54 and he has gone up against 463 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.64 (57 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.220. He has given up 114 hits (9.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 21 walks.

Washington has recorded 131 home runs for the year and 558 runs batted in. They have 240 two-baggers, while taking a walk 427 times as well as putting up 582 runs. The Washington Nationals are sitting with an on-base percentage of .311 and a team batting average of .249 on the year. The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .378 and they tally 3.75 runs per outing (26th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,157 instances (28th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,297 base hits.

The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 809 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.94 (743 earned runs given up). They have yielded 230 homers and they allow 5.38 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.427 in addition to having a FIP of 4.94 as a pitching staff so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.19 (1,169 strikeouts against 534 walks). They are currently ranked 28th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 1,399.

Washington relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.9% out of 235 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 128 times in high leverage situations and also on 147 occasions with runners on base. With 104 save situations, the Nationals have accumulated 58 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They are ranked 18th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have dispatched 564 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Washington has called on relievers to enter the contest in 45 save chances and they have come away with 28 saves.

Out of their 12,192 innings on the field, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (24th in the majors). The Washington Nationals have gotten 123 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (29th in the majors). The Nationals have recorded 1,358 assists, 101 errors and have notched a total of 4,064 putouts over the course of the season.

In his MLB career, Fedde has given up 485 base hits while he has totaled 348 strikeouts in 447 frames. He has allowed 262 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.506 and a FIP of 5.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.85 and he has gone up against 1,970 batters in his pro baseball career. Fedde (21-31 career mark) has a 5.28 earned run average and has surrendered 9.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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