Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 10/18/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres

Date: Tuesday, October 18, 2022

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: FS1

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+105) San Diego (-125)

The Philadelphia Phillies are on their way to Petco Park on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the San Diego Padres in Game 1 of the NLCS. The line on this matchup has Philadelphia at +105 while San Diego is sitting at -125. The total is set at 6.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Zack Wheeler and Yu Darvish. The Phillies are coming off a 3-1 series win over Atlanta while the Padres finished the Dodgers off in 4 games as well.

The Phillies have tallied 255 doubles as a unit and have hit 205 baseballs out of the stadium. Philadelphia is slugging .422 and have been rung up 1,363 times, while drawing a walk on 478 occasions. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in baseball. They have accounted for 719 runs batted in as well as 1,392 base knocks on the year, and their batting average comes in at .253. They have tallied 747 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .317.

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The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 3.97 for the year (18th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,423 batters. They have walked 463 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.60 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 3.07 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26. Phillies pitchers have given up 150 home runs and also 685 runs (15th in the league).

The Phillies bullpen have earned a save percentage of 70.0% and has come into the game in 149 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 197 runners for the year with 32.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Phillies pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 130 times as well as having 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 516 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have notched 88 holds so far this season (13th in the league). They have earned 42 saves this season and have not converted 18 of 60 save opportunities.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a total of 4,285 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,416 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which ranks 4th in MLB, and have accumulated 129 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,855 innings, which has them sitting 25th in MLB.

Wheeler has thrown 1,186 innings and has earned 1,189 K's during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.42 (451 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.203. He has conceded 1,061 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 366 walks. Wheeler (74-57 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.38 while he has gone up against 4,927 hitters in the majors.

San Diego is sitting with 153 HRs so far this year and 682 runs batted in. They have put up 276 doubles, while getting a free base 574 times as well as scoring 705 runs. The San Diego Padres are sitting with an OBP of .318 as well as a batting average of .241 on the season. The Padres hold a slugging % of .382 and they score 4.35 runs per game (13th in MLB). They have struck out on 1,327 occasions (22nd in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,318 base hits.

The San Diego pitching staff have given up 660 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.81 (611 earned runs given up). They have allowed 173 dingers and they surrender 4.12 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.200 with a FIP of 3.82 as a pitching staff for the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.10 (1,451 strikeouts against 468 walks). They sit at 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,263.

San Diego has had relievers step onto the hill in 70 save chances and they have come away with 48 saves. They are currently ranked 9th in MLB holding a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have sent 488 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 162 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with base runners. San Diego bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 40.0% of 200 inherited runners. Sitting with 145 save situations, the Padres have recorded 70 holds in addition to 22 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have turned 116 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in the majors). The Padres have racked up 1,362 assists, 76 errors and have earned 4,330 putouts on the season. In their 12,990 innings on the diamond, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (8th in the majors).

Darvish (95-75 career mark) is the owner of a 3.50 earned run average while conceding 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.73 and he has gone up against 6,104 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered 579 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.125 and a FIP of 3.5. In his MLB career, Darvish has given up 1,195 base knocks while he has earned 1,788 punch outs in 1,488 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+105)

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