Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Thursday, July 28, 2022

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-125) Pittsburgh (+105)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (40-58) are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies (50-47) at PNC Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at -125 and the Pirates are sitting at +105. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Zack Wheeler and Zach Thompson.

The Phillies have tallied 153 doubles as a unit and have knocked 126 baseballs out of the stadium. Philadelphia is slugging .414 and have struck out 821 times, while being walked on 294 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.6 runs per outing, which is 7th in MLB. They have accumulated 428 runs batted in as well as 804 hits on the season, and their batting average is sitting at .244. They have racked up 447 runs while holding a team OBP of .309.

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The Phillies hold a team ERA of 3.81 this year (10th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 853 hitters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.02 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have conceded 94 long balls and also 404 total runs (10th in the league). They have walked 282 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.70 as a squad on the campaign.

Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 93 times in addition to having 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 50 holds over the course of the season (18th in MLB). The Phillies bullpen have earned a save rate of 70.6% and has entered the game in 85 save situations. They have accumulated 24 saves for the year and have blown 10 out of their 34 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 139 runners so far this season with 34.5% of those players ended up scoring. The Phillies have sent 321 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Phillies have transformed 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,758 innings, which has them sitting at 17th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 2,586 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 857 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which has them sitting 9th in MLB, and have a total of 76 double plays.

Wheeler has taken the ball for 1,140 innings and has totaled 1,140 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Wheeler (70-55 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.38 while going up against 4,747 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.44 (436 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.209. He has given up 1,025 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 354 free passes.

Pittsburgh has recorded 100 home runs on the season to go along with 329 RBIs. They have recorded 136 two-baggers, while walking 289 times as well as putting up 351 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates hold a team on-base percentage of .288 and a team batting average of .220 on the year. The Pirates have a team slugging percentage of .365 and they are recording 3.58 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have been rung up on 911 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have earned a total of 707 base knocks.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 495 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 4.62 (441 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 105 dingers and they allow 5.19 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball). The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.423 in addition to having a FIP of 4.29 as a pitching staff so far this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.22 (767 strikeouts against 345 walks). They rank 28th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 878.

Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.5% out of their 137 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 106 times in high leverage situations in addition to 92 occasions with base runners. With 93 save situations, the Pirates have compiled 49 holds and also 17 blown saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in baseball with a save percentage of 58.5%, and they have sent 305 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Pittsburgh has had relief pitchers enter the game in 41 save opportunities and they have converted 24 saves.

In their 7,737 innings on the field, the Pirates have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (29th in baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 96 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in pro baseball). The Pirates have 933 assists, 72 errors and have a total of 2,579 putouts on the season.

Thompson (6-14 career record) has a 3.94 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.95 and he has faced 646 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has conceded 66 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.327 and having a FIP of 4.5. So far in his MLB career, Thompson has surrendered 140 hits while accumulating 117 K's in 150 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+105)

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