Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/4/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+155) Houston (-180)

The Philadelphia Phillies (86-73) are on their way to Minute Maid Park on Tuesday where they will go up against the Houston Astros (104-55). The moneyline on this game has Philadelphia at +155 while Houston is at -180. The total is 7. The expected starting pitchers are Ranger Suarez and Justin Verlander.

Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .423 and have struck out 1,320 times, while being walked on 467 occasions. They have tallied 706 runs batted in as well as 1,365 hits for the season, and their team batting average is .254. The Phillies have earned 249 doubles as a unit and have smacked 201 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 734 runs scored and have an OBP of .317. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.7 runs per game, which ranks them 7th in MLB.

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The Phillies have a team earned run average of 3.97 over the course of the season (17th in the league), and they have struck out 1,391 batters. They have walked 456 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.61 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.05 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25. Phillies pitchers have yielded 146 home runs and 671 runs in total (15th in MLB).

Phillies relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 128 times as well as having 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have notched 87 holds this year (12th in baseball). The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 69.5% and has come into the game in 147 save situations. They have 41 saves on the year and have blown 18 of 59 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 193 base runners over the course of the season with 32.6% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Phillies have dispatched 507 relievers to the hill this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 4,192 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,380 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which has them sitting 4th in the majors, and have 122 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,576 innings, ranking them 24th in MLB.

Suarez (25-14 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.53 while he has faced 1,362 hitters during his time in the majors. He has given up 298 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 111 free passes. His ERA is 2.98 (108 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.255. Suarez has thrown 326 frames and is sitting with 288 strikeouts in his career.

The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .422 and they earn 4.56 runs per outing (8th in the league). They have recorded 276 doubles, while walking 521 times and putting up 721 runs. Houston has tallied 209 HRs this year as well as 699 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,151 occasions (29th in the league) and have a total of 1,300 base hits. The Houston Astros have recorded an OBP of .319 and a batting average of .246 this season.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 512 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 2.93 (459 earned runs conceded). They have given up 131 long balls and they concede 3.27 runs per 9 innings (2nd in the league). The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.096 in addition to having a FIP of 3.31 as a staff so far this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.31 (1,475 strikeouts vs 446 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,099.

Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.4% of 146 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 157 times in high leverage situations and also on 102 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 163 save situations, the Astros have 96 holds and also 16 blown saves. They sit at 2nd in the league holding a save rate of 76.1%, and they have sent 467 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. Houston has had relief pitchers enter the game in 67 save chances and they have earned 51 saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 119 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in baseball). The Astros have recorded 1,250 assists, 72 errors and have 4,228 putouts for the season. In 12,684 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.8% (3rd in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Verlander has conceded 2,654 base hits and he has 3,188 K's in 3,158 innings. Verlander (243-133 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.25 ERA while surrendering 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 1,139 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.119 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 3.63 and he has gone up against 12,864 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+155)

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