Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/3/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, October 3, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

The Philadelphia Phillies (85-73) are headed to Minute Maid Park on Monday where they will compete against the Houston Astros (104-55). The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Lance McCullers Jr.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 4.7 runs per contest, which puts them at 7th in baseball. They have accounted for 734 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .317. The Phillies have tallied 249 doubles as a unit and have knocked 201 balls out of the park. They have recorded 706 runs batted in in addition to 1,365 hits on the year, while their average at the plate sits at .254. Philadelphia is slugging .423 and have been called out on strikes 1,320 times, while taking a walk on 467 occasions.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team ERA of 3.97 this year (17th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,391 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 456 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.61 as a squad this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.05 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.25. Phillies pitchers have yielded 146 home runs in addition to 671 runs in total (15th in MLB).

The Phillies bullpen have a save percentage of 69.5% and has come into the game in 147 save situations. The relievers have inherited 193 runners on the campaign with 32.6% of those players ended up scoring. Phillies relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 128 times in addition to having 148 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 507 relievers to the mound on the season. The bullpen have notched 87 holds so far this year (12th in the league). They have accumulated 41 saves so far this year and have blown 18 out of their 59 chances to get a save.

The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated 4,192 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,380 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them sitting 4th in the majors, and have 122 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,576 innings, ranking them 24th in professional baseball.

Nola has thrown 1,221 innings and has 1,371 punch outs in his career. Nola (77-62 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.29 while he has gone up against 5,000 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.62 (492 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.130. He has surrendered 1,054 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 326 walks.

The Houston Astros have an OBP of .319 as well as a team batting average of .246 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,151 occasions (29th in the league) and have accounted for 1,300 hits. Houston has 209 home runs so far this year to go along with 699 RBIs. The Astros have a team SLG% of .422 and they are earning 4.56 runs per outing (8th in baseball). They have hit 276 doubles, while taking a walk 521 times as well as scoring 721 runs.

The Houston pitching staff have given up 512 runs for the year while having an ERA of 2.93 (459 earned runs given up). They have given up 131 HR's and they relinquish 3.27 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.096 and have a FIP of 3.31 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.31 (1,475 strikeouts against 446 free passes). They are sitting at 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,099.

Houston has had relief pitchers enter the game in 67 save chances and they have earned 51 saves. They rank 2nd in MLB with a save rate of 76.1%, and they have dispatched 467 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this season. Their relievers have taken the field 157 times in high leverage situations and on 102 occasions with runners on base. Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.4% out of their 146 inherited runners. With 163 save situations, the Astros have tallied 96 holds and also 16 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 119 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in baseball). The Astros have racked up 1,250 assists, 72 errors and have a total of 4,228 putouts so far this season. Out of their 12,684 innings on the diamond, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency of 71.8% (3rd in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, McCullers has given up 597 hits and he has 795 strikeouts in 712 innings. He has given up a total of 277 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.252 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.69 and he has gone up against 2,995 opposing hitters during his career. McCullers (49-31 career win-loss mark) has a 3.50 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston

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