Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros

Date: Friday, October 28, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+149) Houston (-165)

The Philadelphia Phillies are traveling to Minute Maid Park on Friday where they will try to beat the Houston Astros in Game 1 of the World Series. The odds on this game have the Phillies at +149 and the Astros are coming in at -165. The over/under is set at 6.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Zack Wheeler and Justin Verlander.

Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .422 and have struck out 1,363 times, while taking a walk on 478 occasions. They have compiled 719 runs batted in in addition to 1,392 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate sits at .253. The Phillies have tallied 255 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 205 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 747 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .317. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, which has them at 7th in the league.

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Phillies pitchers have allowed 150 long balls and 685 runs (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 463 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.60 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.07 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.26. The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.97 for the season (18th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,423 hitters.

The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 70.0% and stepped onto the hill in 149 save situations. The relievers have inherited 197 runners for the season with 32.5% of them earned a run for their team. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 130 times in addition to having 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 516 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have earned 88 holds this season (13th in MLB). They have recorded 42 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 18 out of their 60 save opportunities.

The Phillies have converted 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,855 innings on the diamond, ranking them 25th in the majors. The Philadelphia Phillies have 4,285 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,416 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 4th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 129 double plays.

Wheeler has taken the ball for 1,186 innings and has totaled 1,189 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.42 (451 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.203. He has given up 1,061 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 366 free passes. Wheeler (74-57 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.38 while he has faced 4,927 hitters in the majors.

The Astros hold a slugging percentage of .424 and they have an average of 4.55 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have recorded 284 doubles, while walking 528 times and putting up 737 runs. Houston has tallied 214 long balls so far this year to go along with 715 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,179 occasions (29th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,341 base hits. The Houston Astros have a team on-base percentage of .319 as well as a batting average of .248 on the year.

The Houston pitching staff have relinquished 518 runs this year while holding an ERA of 2.90 (465 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 134 long balls and they relinquish 3.23 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.093 in addition to having a FIP of 3.28 as a pitching staff on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.33 (1,524 strikeouts against 458 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,121.

Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 69 save opportunities and they have earned 53 saves. They sit at 2nd in the league holding a save rate of 76.8%, and they have dispatched 480 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 160 times in high leverage situations in addition to 103 occasions with runners on base. Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.7% out of 148 inherited runners. Sitting with 171 save situations, the Astros have earned 102 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 122 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (7th in baseball). The Astros have recorded 1,290 assists, 72 errors and have amassed 4,336 putouts this year. In their 13,008 innings on the field, the Astros have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (3rd in baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Verlander has surrendered 2,654 base hits while he has earned 3,198 K's in 3,163 innings. He has allowed a total of 1,139 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.117 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 12,880 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Verlander (244-133 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.24 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+149)

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