Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/29/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Thursday, September 29, 2022

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-200) Chicago (+170)

The Philadelphia Phillies (83-70) are hitting the road to Wrigley Field on Thursday where they will take on the Chicago Cubs (68-86). The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -200 while Chicago is priced at +170. The total has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Ranger Suarez and Javier Assad.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.7 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 7th in MLB. They have earned a total of 715 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .317. The Phillies have hit 242 doubles as a squad and have hit 195 balls out of the park. They have 689 runs batted in as well as 1,320 hits for the season, while their average at the plate comes in at .254. Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .424 and have struck out 1,282 times, while being walked on 451 occasions.

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Phillies pitchers have allowed 142 long balls and 649 total runs (12th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 440 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.61 as a team this year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.06 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 3.95 for the year (17th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,347 hitters.

The Phillies have dispatched 495 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 188 base runners for the season with 33.0% of them ended up scoring. They have accumulated 40 saves for the year and have missed out on 18 of their 58 save opportunities. The Phillies bullpen have a save percentage of 69.0% and has entered the game in 144 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 85 holds so far this season (10th in the league). Phillies bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 126 times in addition to having 147 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Phillies have converted 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,198 innings on the field, which ranks them 23rd in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for 4,066 putouts this year, in addition to 1,329 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which ranks 5th in professional baseball, and have earned 121 double plays.

Suarez (25-13 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.56 while he has gone up against 1,336 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 291 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 110 free passes. His earned run average is 2.98 (106 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.253. Suarez has pitched in 320 innings and is sitting with 283 K's in his MLB career.

Chicago has hit 152 home runs on the year to go along with 582 runs batted in. They have notched 248 doubles, while taking a walk 474 times and putting up 617 runs. The Chicago Cubs have recorded an OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .240 on the campaign. The Cubs hold a slugging percentage of .387 and they are earning 4.01 runs per outing (23rd in MLB). They have been rung up on 1,378 occasions (6th in the league) and have 1,239 base knocks.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.317 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.43 as a pitching staff so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.53 (1,311 strikeouts vs 518 bases on balls). They come in at 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,291. They have surrendered 205 dingers and they concede 4.71 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 718 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.14 (631 earned runs conceded).

Chicago has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 71 save opportunities and they have tallied 41 saves. They are ranked 22nd in the league with a save rate of 57.7%, and they have dispatched 503 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 176 times in high leverage situations in addition to 156 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.3% of 218 inherited runners. Sitting with 127 save situations, the Cubs have earned 52 holds in addition to 30 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 136 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in pro baseball). The Cubs have 1,394 assists, 93 errors and have notched a total of 4,121 putouts this year. In their 12,363 innings played, the Cubs hold a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (16th in baseball).

So far in his career, Assad has conceded 26 base hits while totaling 23 strikeouts in 27 innings. Assad (1-2 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.28 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 13 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.573 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.35 and he has faced 125 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+170)

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