Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-230) Chicago (+195)

The Chicago Cubs (67-86) will play the Philadelphia Phillies (83-69) at Wrigley Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Phillies at -230 and the Cubs are coming in at +195. The over/under is 8. The starting pitchers will be Aaron Nola and Hayden Wesneski.

The Phillies have accrued 241 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 195 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .425 and have been called out on strikes 1,276 times, while taking a walk on 449 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are knocking in 4.7 runs per contest, which ranks them 7th in MLB. They have accrued 688 runs batted in and 1,315 base knocks this year, and their team batting average comes in at .255. They have notched a total of 714 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .318.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 3.96 so far this year (18th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,342 hitters. They have walked 439 hitters and their FIP sits at 3.61 as a unit for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.06 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Phillies pitchers have given up 141 home runs and 647 total runs (14th in baseball).

Phillies bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 126 times in addition to having 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 85 holds on the campaign (10th in MLB). The Phillies relief pitchers have a save percentage of 69.0% and has come into the game in 144 save situations. They have earned 40 saves this year and have blown 18 of their 58 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 188 base runners so far this year and 33.0% of those runners crossed home plate. The Phillies have sent 493 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies are sitting with 4,042 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,317 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which puts them in 5th in professional baseball, and have 119 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,126 innings on the field, ranking them 23rd in baseball.

Nola has taken the ball for 1,215 frames and is sitting with 1,363 punch outs so far in his career. His ERA is 3.61 (488 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.131. He has surrendered 1,049 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 326 walks. Nola (77-61 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.29 while facing 4,975 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Chicago Cubs have recorded a team OBP of .311 in addition to a team batting average of .240 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,373 occasions (5th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,232 base hits. Chicago has recorded 151 HRs on the season and 580 runs batted in. The Cubs have a SLG% of .386 and they score 4.02 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have tallied 247 doubles, while taking a walk 473 times and scoring 615 runs.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.321 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.44 as a pitching staff this year. They rank 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,286. The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 717 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.16 (630 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.53 (1,305 strikeouts against 516 free passes). They have conceded 205 long balls and they relinquish 4.73 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).

Chicago relievers have an inherited score rate of 30.4% out of their 217 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 175 times in high leverage situations in addition to 155 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 125 save situations, the Cubs have tallied 51 holds in addition to 30 blown saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB holding a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 501 relievers onto the field this year. Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 70 save chances and they have tallied 40 saves.

Out of their 12,282 innings played, the Cubs have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (16th in baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 133 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB). The Cubs have racked up 1,379 assists, 92 errors and have a tally of 4,094 putouts for the season.

During his pro baseball career, Wesneski has allowed 14 hits while earning 24 strikeouts in 22 frames. He has conceded 6 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.818 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 6.00 and he has faced 84 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Wesneski (2-1 mark in his career) holds a 2.45 ERA while giving up 5.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-230)

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