Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/27/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-195) Chicago (+165)

The Chicago Cubs (67-86) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (83-69) at Wrigley Field on Tuesday. The line on this matchup has Philadelphia at -195 and Chicago is sitting at +165. The over/under comes in at 7. The starting pitchers will be Zack Wheeler and Marcus Stroman.

The Phillies have recorded 240 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 195 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia is slugging .425 and have been rung up 1,276 times, while being walked on 449 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in MLB. They have recorded 688 runs batted in and 1,314 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is sitting at .254. They have a total of 714 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .317.

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The Phillies have an earned run average of 3.96 this season (18th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,342 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 439 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.61 as a squad on the year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.25. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 141 home runs in addition to 647 total runs (14th in the league).

The Phillies bullpen have recorded a save rate of 69.0% and stepped onto the hill in 144 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 188 base runners on the season and 33.0% of them crossed home plate. Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 126 times in addition to having 156 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 493 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have earned 85 holds for the year (10th in the league). They have accumulated 40 saves for the year and have blown 18 of their 58 save opportunities.

The Phillies have transformed 68.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,126 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 24th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for 4,042 putouts for the season, as well as 1,317 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them sitting 5th in baseball, and have accumulated 119 double plays.

Wheeler has taken the ball for 1,175 innings and has racked up 1,177 strikeouts during his career. Wheeler (73-57 career record) holds a FIP of 3.38 while facing 4,889 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.44 (450 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.207. He has given up 1,054 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) and has 365 free passes.

The Cubs hold a team slugging % of .386 and they average 4.02 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have recorded 247 doubles, while taking a walk 473 times and scoring 615 runs. Chicago is sitting with 151 home runs for the season as well as 580 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,373 occasions (5th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,232 base hits. The Chicago Cubs have compiled a team OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .240 over the course of the season.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.321 in addition to having a FIP of 4.44 as a pitching staff so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 (1,305 strikeouts vs 516 bases on balls). They rank 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,286. They have surrendered 205 homers and they surrender 4.73 runs per 9 innings (23rd in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 717 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.16 (630 earned runs conceded).

Chicago has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 70 save opportunities and they have come away with 40 saves. They rank 23rd in the league holding a save rate of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 501 relievers to the mound this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 175 times in high leverage situations in addition to 155 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.4% of 217 inherited base runners. Sitting with 125 save situations, the Cubs have accumulated 51 holds and 30 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 133 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in MLB). The Cubs have accrued 1,379 assists, 92 errors and have accumulated 4,094 putouts this season. In 12,282 innings played, the Cubs are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (16th in baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Stroman has conceded 1,128 base hits while he has earned 959 K's in 1,154 innings pitched. Stroman (65-67 career mark) has a 3.65 earned run average and has conceded 8.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 468 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.256 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.99 and he has faced 4,797 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-195)

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