Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/17/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 17, 2022

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-120) Atlanta (+100)

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (88-55) will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies (80-63) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Phillies at -120 and the Braves are sitting at +100. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Aaron Nola and Jake Odorizzi.

As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.7 runs per game, which puts them at 5th in baseball. They are sitting with 672 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .318. The Phillies have accumulated 229 doubles as a unit and have knocked 183 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accrued 646 runs batted in and 1,240 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .255. Philadelphia is slugging .427 and have struck out 1,188 times, while drawing a walk on 415 occasions.

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Phillies pitchers have conceded 130 home runs and 595 total runs (11th in the league). They have walked 409 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.59 as a squad so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.06 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 3.87 for the season (12th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,251 batters.

The Phillies bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 70.9% and has entered the game in 137 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 179 runners so far this year and 33.5% of them crossed home plate. Phillies bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 118 times as well as having 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 459 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The bullpen have notched 81 holds so far this season (9th in the league). They have compiled 39 saves over the course of the season and have blown 16 of 55 chances to save the game.

The Phillies have turned 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,397 innings on the field, which has them sitting 20th in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned a total of 3,799 putouts this season, in addition to 1,236 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which is 4th in the majors, and they have turned 112 double plays.

Nola has taken the ball for 1,202 innings and has totaled 1,347 K's so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.62 (484 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.130. He has allowed 1,038 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 321 walks. Nola (76-60 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.30 and he has gone up against 4,921 hitters in the majors.

Atlanta has recorded 215 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 674 RBIs. They have 263 doubles, while taking a walk 416 times and scoring 705 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold an on-base percentage of .317 as well as a batting average of .253 for the season. The Braves have a team SLG% of .443 and they are earning 4.93 runs per outing (3rd in baseball). They have struck out on 1,319 instances (3rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,232 base hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 546 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 3.50 (497 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 131 dingers and they concede 3.84 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.193 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.46 as a pitching staff so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.12 (1,381 strikeouts against 442 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,083.

Atlanta has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 73 save chances and they have tallied 47 saves. They sit at 16th in MLB holding a save percentage of 64.4%, and they have sent 448 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 162 times in high leverage situations in addition to 120 occasions with base runners. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.2% out of 177 inherited runners. Sitting with 168 save situations, the Braves have accrued 92 holds and 26 blown saves.

In their 11,505 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (13th in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have turned 98 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in pro baseball). The Braves have 1,225 assists, 63 errors and have accumulated 3,835 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, Odorizzi has conceded 1,118 base hits while he has accumulated 1,154 strikeouts in 1,236 innings. He has given up a total of 544 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.244 and having a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and he has faced 5,196 hitters during his pro baseball career. Odorizzi (73-68 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.96 ERA while conceding 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-120)

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