Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 10/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday, October 11, 2022

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+163) Atlanta (-195)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (101-61) will try to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (87-75) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies at +163 and the Braves are at -195. The over/under comes in at 6.5. The starting pitchers will be Ranger Suarez and Max Fried.

The Phillies have accumulated 255 doubles as a unit and have hit 205 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia is slugging .422 and have been rung up 1,363 times, while drawing a walk on 478 occasions. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in baseball. They have 719 runs batted in in addition to 1,392 hits on the season, and their batting average is .253. They have earned 747 runs scored and have an OBP of .317.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.97 on the season (18th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,423 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.07 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Phillies pitchers have conceded 150 home runs and 685 total runs (15th in the league). They have walked 463 batters and their FIP is 3.60 as a unit this year.

Phillies bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 130 times and also have had 149 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 88 holds for the season (13th in MLB). The Phillies bullpen have a save percentage of 70.0% and has come into the game in 149 save situations. They have recorded 42 saves over the course of the season and have blown 18 of their 60 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 197 runners on the campaign and 32.5% of them earned a run for their team. The Phillies have dispatched 516 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a tally of 4,285 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,416 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which ranks 4th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 129 double plays. The Phillies have converted 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of 12,855 innings, which has them ranked 25th in professional baseball.

Suarez has taken the mound for 329 innings and has 290 K's so far in his MLB career. Suarez (25-15 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.64 while going up against 1,380 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.12 (114 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.271. He has conceded 305 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 113 walks.

The Atlanta Braves have a team on-base percentage of .317 as well as a batting average of .253 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,498 instances (2nd in the league) and have accounted for 1,394 base hits. Atlanta has hit 243 home runs for the season to go along with 753 runs batted in. The Braves have a team slugging % of .443 and they average 4.87 runs per outing (3rd in the league). They have put up 298 two-baggers, while taking a walk 470 times and putting up 789 runs.

The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 609 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.46 (556 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 148 home runs and they allow 3.79 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The Braves have a WHIP of 1.191 and have a FIP of 3.46 as a team this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.11 (1,554 strikeouts vs 500 walks). They come in at 4th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,224.

Sitting with 200 save situations, the Braves have earned 114 holds in addition to 28 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 83 save opportunities and they have earned 55 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 182 times in high leverage situations and also on 136 occasions with runners on. Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.6% of 193 inherited runners. They rank 14th in the league with a save rate of 66.3%, and they have dispatched 518 relievers to the hill on the year.

Out of their 13,032 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (14th in pro baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 110 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in pro baseball). The Braves have 1,382 assists, 77 errors and have accounted for 4,344 putouts this season.

In his pro baseball career, Fried has given up 567 base hits while he has tallied 617 K's in 632 innings. He has allowed 217 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.167 and a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.61 and he has faced 2,589 hitters thus far in his career. Fried (54-25 career record) has earned a 3.09 ERA and has conceded 8.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+163)

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