New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/20/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Thursday, October 20, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-105) Houston (-110)

Minute Maid Park is the location where the Houston Astros will meet the New York Yankees on Thursday in Game 2 of the ALCS. The odds on this game have the Yankees at -105 and the Astros are coming in at -110. The total is 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Luis Severino and Framber Valdez.

The Yankees have tallied 225 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 254 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .426 and have struck out 1,391 times, while taking a walk on 620 occasions. As a unit, the New York Yankees are recording 5.0 runs/g, which has them at 2nd in baseball. They have accrued 764 runs batted in as well as 1,308 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average sits at .241. They have tallied 807 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .325.

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The Yankees are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.30 on the season (3rd in MLB), and they have struck out 1,459 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 444 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.56 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.29 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.12. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 157 home runs and also 567 total runs (3rd in baseball).

The Yankees have sent 507 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 254 base runners on the season and 28.7% of those players crossed the plate. They have tallied 47 saves this year and have not converted 21 of their 68 chances to get a save. The Yankees bullpen have a save rate of 69.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 153 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 81 holds so far this year (15th in the league). Yankees pitchers have entered the game with runners on 178 times in addition to having 185 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Yankees have earned a total of 4,355 putouts this season, as well as 1,473 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which puts them in 6th in professional baseball, and have a total of 102 double plays. The Yankees have converted 72.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 13,065 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 2nd in professional baseball.

Severino (50-29 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.39 while he has gone up against 2,605 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 534 base hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 181 walks. His earned run average is 3.39 (240 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.121. Severino has pitched in 638 innings and has accumulated 709 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

Houston has compiled 214 home runs on the campaign and 715 runs batted in. They have hit 284 two-baggers, while taking a walk 528 times as well as notching 737 runs. The Houston Astros have recorded a team OBP of .319 and a batting average of .248 so far this season. The Astros hold a slugging percentage of .424 and they earn 4.55 runs per game (8th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,179 instances (29th in the league) and have totaled 1,341 hits.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.093 with a FIP of 3.28 as a pitching staff this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.33 (1,524 strikeouts against 458 bases on balls). They rank 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,121. They have allowed 134 dingers and they concede 3.23 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have given up 518 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 2.90 (465 earned runs yielded).

Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.7% out of their 148 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 160 times in high leverage situations and also on 103 occasions with runners on. With 171 save situations, the Astros have tallied 102 holds and 16 blown saves. They are currently ranked 2nd in baseball with a save rate of 76.8%, and they have dispatched 480 relief pitchers onto the field on the season. Houston has called on relievers to take the mound in 69 save chances and they have recorded 53 saves.

The Houston Astros have gotten 122 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in pro baseball). The Astros have accrued 1,290 assists, 72 errors and have earned 4,336 putouts for the year. In 13,008 innings on the field, the Astros hold a efficiency on defense of 71.9% (3rd in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Valdez has allowed 435 base hits while totaling 497 punch outs in 514 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 193 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.252 and having a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.38 and he has gone up against 2,170 opposing batters during his career. Valdez (41-23 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.38 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-105)

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