New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/19/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, October 19, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+100) Houston (-120)

The New York Yankees are traveling to Minute Maid Park on Wednesday where they will take on the Houston Astros in Game 1 of the ALCS. The line on this contest has New York at +100 and Houston is sitting at -120. The total is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jameson Taillon and Justin Verlander. The Astros swept the Mariners in 3 games while the Yankees needed 5 games to put away the Cleveland Guardians.

The Yankees have hit 225 doubles as a squad and have smacked 254 balls out of the stadium. New York has a slugging rate of .426 and have been called out on strikes 1,391 times, while drawing a walk on 620 occasions. As a squad, the New York Yankees are knocking in 5.0 runs per outing, which is 2nd in the league. They have accumulated 764 runs batted in as well as 1,308 hits so far this season, while their team batting average sits at .241. They have a total of 807 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .325.

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The Yankees have a team ERA of 3.30 this season (3rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,459 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 444 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.56 as a team for the year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.29 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.12. Yankees pitchers have surrendered 157 home runs and also 567 runs in total (3rd in the league).

Yankees relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 178 times and also have had 185 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 81 holds this year (15th in the league). The Yankees relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 69.1% and has come into the game in 153 save situations. They have recorded 47 saves on the campaign and have blown 21 of their 68 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 254 runners on the campaign with 28.7% of those players ended up scoring. The Yankees have sent 507 relievers to the hill this year.

The Yankees have converted 72.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,065 innings on the field, which has them ranked 2nd in baseball. The New York Yankees have a tally of 4,355 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,473 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them ranked 6th in MLB, and they have turned 102 double plays.

Taillon (51-35 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.80 and he has gone up against 3,279 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 762 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 193 walks. His ERA is 3.84 (336 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.212. Taillon has taken the mound for 787 innings and has tallied 710 punch outs in his MLB career.

Houston has knocked in 214 HRs on the year as well as 715 runs batted in. They have tallied 284 two-baggers, while getting a free base 528 times as well as racking up 737 runs. The Houston Astros have accounted for a team OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .248 so far this year. The Astros hold a slugging % of .424 and they earn 4.55 runs per game (8th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 1,179 occasions (29th in baseball) and have earned 1,341 base hits.

The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.093 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.28 as a team this season. They are currently ranked 2nd in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,121. The Houston pitching staff have given up 518 runs this season while having a team ERA of 2.90 (465 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.33 (1,524 strikeouts against 458 bases on balls). They have surrendered 134 home runs and they surrender 3.23 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 27.7% of 148 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 160 times in high leverage situations and on 103 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 171 save situations, the Astros have earned 102 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. They sit at 2nd in the league holding a save percentage of 76.8%, and they have dispatched 480 relievers onto the diamond this season. Houston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 69 save chances and they have recorded 53 saves.

In 13,008 innings on the field, the Astros hold a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (3rd in baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 122 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in pro baseball). The Astros have accrued 1,290 assists, 72 errors and have earned a total of 4,336 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, Verlander has allowed 2,654 base hits and he has 3,198 strikeouts in 3,163 innings pitched. Verlander (244-133 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.24 earned run average while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 1,139 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.117 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and he has gone up against 12,880 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+100)

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