New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, September 11, 2022

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-155) Miami (+135)

The New York Mets (87-52) are hitting the road to LoanDepot Park on Sunday where they will compete against the Miami Marlins (57-80). The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at -155 while the Marlins are priced at +135. The total is set at 7. The men taking the mound are Taijuan Walker and Jesus Luzardo.

As a squad, the New York Mets are recording 4.7 runs per outing, which puts them at 7th in the league. They have tallied 646 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .328. The Mets have recorded 239 doubles as a squad and have knocked 139 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 613 runs batted in and 1,207 hits this season, and their team batting average is .257. New York is slugging .407 and have struck out 1,036 times, while drawing a walk on 424 occasions.

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The Mets have an ERA of 3.53 on the year (7th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,308 hitters. They have walked 384 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.56 as a team so far this year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.41 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.20. Mets pitchers have given up 141 long balls and also 520 total runs (6th in MLB).

Mets pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 123 times and also have had 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 74 holds on the campaign (15th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 71.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 128 save situations. They have tallied 38 saves for the season and have missed out on 15 out of their 53 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 169 runners over the course of the season with 38.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 409 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Mets have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,121 innings, which has them sitting at 20th in the majors. The New York Mets have accumulated 3,707 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,180 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 4th in professional baseball, and have a total of 111 double plays.

Walker has taken the hill for 868 innings and has earned 770 strikeouts during his MLB career. Walker (52-49 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.24 and he has faced 3,651 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.92 (378 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.232. He has given up 791 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 279 walks.

The Marlins have a team SLG% of .362 and they earn 3.56 runs per contest (27th in MLB). They have hit 210 two-baggers, while walking 376 times as well as scoring 488 runs. Miami has knocked in 121 long balls on the season and 462 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,207 instances (8th in the league) and have 1,044 hits. The Miami Marlins have an OBP of .294 as well as a team batting average of .229 on the season.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 578 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.88 (522 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 143 dingers and they surrender 4.29 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.274 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.89 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.77 (1,195 strikeouts against 432 walks). They come in at 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,112.

Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 57 save opportunities and they have tallied 33 saves. They rank 21st in MLB with a save percentage of 57.9%, and they have sent 445 relievers to the mound this year. Their relievers have come in 145 times in high leverage situations and on 107 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 35.3% out of their 156 inherited runners. With 120 save situations, the Marlins have 61 holds in addition to 24 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 116 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in MLB). The Marlins have 1,244 assists, 62 errors and have accumulated 3,636 putouts on the season. In 10,908 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (17th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Luzardo has allowed 216 base hits while he has accumulated 255 strikeouts in 238 innings. He has conceded 126 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.303 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 and he has gone up against 1,017 hitters so far in his MLB career. Luzardo (12-17 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.75 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-155)

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