New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/29/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, July 29, 2022

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Miami (+125)

LoanDepot Park is the site where the Miami Marlins (46-52) will take on the New York Mets (61-37) on Friday. The odds on this game have New York at -145 and Miami is coming in at +125. The over/under has been set at 6.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Chris Bassitt and Sandy Alcantara.

The Mets have earned 157 doubles as a squad and have hit 96 balls out of the park. New York is slugging .397 and have struck out 753 times, while taking a walk on 300 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.7 runs per game, which is 5th in MLB. They have earned 433 RBI's and 839 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .253. They have notched a total of 456 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .324.

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The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 3.58 over the course of the season (6th in the league), and their staff has struck out 936 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 277 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.67 as a unit this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.38 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.19. Mets pitchers have relinquished 107 long balls in addition to 370 runs in total (4th in the league).

Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 92 times and also have had 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 56 holds on the campaign (10th in MLB). The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 66.7% and has entered the game in 99 save situations. They have compiled 28 saves this season and have blown 14 out of their 42 save chances. The relievers have inherited 122 base runners for the season with 38.5% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have sent 294 relievers to the hill for the season.

The Mets have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 7,872 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 15th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have amassed 2,624 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 832 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them sitting 6th in professional baseball, and they have turned 83 double plays.

Bassitt has thrown 664 innings and is sitting with 619 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.51 (259 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.195. He has conceded 587 base knocks (7.9 hits per 9 innings) with 207 free passes. Bassitt (38-32 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.84 and he has gone up against 2,790 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Marlins have a team SLG% of .376 and they score 4.00 runs per game (24th in the league). They have put up 146 two-baggers, while getting a free base 266 times and putting up 392 runs. Miami has a total of 94 home runs so far this year as well as 370 RBIs. They have struck out on 855 occasions (8th in MLB) and have a total of 784 base hits. The Miami Marlins are sitting with an OBP of .301 as well as a batting average of .238 on the season.

The Miami pitching staff have given up 415 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.83 (369 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 101 home runs and they relinquish 4.30 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.237 and have a FIP of 3.87 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.82 (866 strikeouts against 307 bases on balls). They come in at 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 767.

Sitting with 92 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 48 holds and 17 blown saves. Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have tallied 25 saves. Their relievers have come in 104 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with runners on. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.9% out of 109 inherited runners. They sit at 20th in the league with a save rate of 59.5%, and they have dispatched 327 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 76 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (12th in baseball). The Marlins have accrued 897 assists, 51 errors and have 2,606 putouts this year. In their 7,818 innings on the field, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in MLB).

So far in his career, Alcantara has allowed 513 base knocks while he has accumulated 564 punch outs in 631 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 218 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.146 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and he has gone up against 2,580 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Alcantara (29-38 career mark) has earned a 3.11 ERA while giving up 7.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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