New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/5/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, July 5, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-200) Cincinnati (+170)

Great American Ball Park is the site where the Cincinnati Reds (27-51) will take on the New York Mets (49-30) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have New York at -200 while Cincinnati is priced at +170. The total comes in at 9. The starting pitchers are Max Scherzer and Nick Lodolo.

As a unit, the New York Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per outing, which has them at 4th in the league. They have accumulated 377 runs while holding a team OBP of .326. The Mets have compiled 121 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 76 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 361 RBI's and 679 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .256. New York has a slugging % of .399 and have struck out 596 times, while drawing a walk on 238 occasions.

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The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 3.90 so far this year (14th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 735 hitters. They have walked 229 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.81 as a squad so far this season. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.21 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.22. Mets pitchers have yielded 90 long balls in addition to 320 runs in total (10th in the league).

The Mets relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 66.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 86 save situations. The relievers have inherited 107 base runners for the season with 41.1% of those players crossed home plate. Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 77 times in addition to having 68 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 244 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen have tallied 52 holds for the season (6th in the league). They have recorded 22 saves for the year and have blown 11 of their 33 chances to get a save.

The Mets have turned 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,303 innings on the field, which has them ranked 16th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have notched a total of 2,101 putouts for the season, as well as 668 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which is 7th in professional baseball, and have a total of 64 double plays.

Scherzer has pitched in 2,586 innings and has totaled 3,079 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.15 (904 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.081. He has allowed 2,108 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 688 walks. Scherzer (195-98 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.12 while he has gone up against 10,459 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with an on-base percentage of .308 in addition to a team batting average of .240 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 665 instances (16th in the league) and have notched a total of 617 base hits. Cincinnati is sitting with 71 home runs so far this season as well as 321 RBIs. The Reds have a SLG% of .376 and they are scoring 4.29 runs per outing (19th in the league). They have hit 124 doubles, while taking a walk 218 times as well as recording 335 runs.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 433 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 5.51 (415 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 113 homers and they relinquish 5.75 runs per 9 innings (30th in MLB). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.439 with a FIP of 4.81 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.27 (674 strikeouts against 297 walks). They are currently ranked 21st in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 679.

Cincinnati has had relief pitchers take the mound in 25 save chances and they have tallied 15 saves. They are currently ranked 21st in MLB holding a save rate of 60.0%, and they have sent 274 relievers onto the field so far this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 61 times in high leverage situations and on 78 occasions with runners on base. Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score rate of 42.2% out of 128 inherited base runners. Sitting with 55 save situations, the Reds have earned 30 holds and 10 blown saves.

In 6,108 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (24th in professional baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 46 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (17th in the majors). The Reds have 579 assists, 42 errors and have accounted for 2,036 putouts this season.

So far in his career, Lodolo has surrendered 18 base hits while he has accumulated 19 punch outs in 14 innings. He has allowed a total of 9 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.568 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.80 and he has faced 69 hitters so far in his MLB career. Lodolo (1-2 career mark) has a 5.52 earned run average and has surrendered 11.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-200)

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