New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/16/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, July 16, 2022

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-165) Chicago (+140)

The Chicago Cubs (34-55) will try to beat the New York Mets (56-34) at Wrigley Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Mets at -165 and the Cubs are opening at +140. The betting total is set at 7.5. The men taking the mound will be Max Scherzer and Drew Smyly.

The Mets have accrued 143 doubles as a unit and have hit 91 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .402 and have been called out on strikes 683 times, while drawing a walk on 275 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.8 runs/g, which has them sitting at 3rd in the league. They have amassed 410 runs batted in as well as 776 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .254. They have accumulated 429 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .326.

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The Mets have an earned run average of 3.69 so far this season (7th in the league), and the staff has struck out 856 batters. They have walked 253 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.70 as a unit this year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.38 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.19. Mets pitchers have allowed 101 long balls in addition to 347 total runs (6th in baseball).

The Mets have sent 271 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have inherited 115 runners so far this season and 39.1% of them earned a run for their team. They have recorded 25 saves for the season and have blown 12 of their 37 chances to get a save. The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 67.6% and has come into the game in 92 save situations. The bullpen have 54 holds over the course of the season (11th in baseball). Mets relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 86 times in addition to having 81 appearances in high leverage situations.

The New York Mets have a tally of 2,402 putouts thus far, as well as 764 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them sitting 6th in pro baseball, and they have turned 73 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,206 innings, which has them ranked 13th in professional baseball.

Scherzer (196-98 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.11 while he has gone up against 10,504 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 2,113 base hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) with 688 free passes. His ERA is 3.13 (905 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.078. Scherzer has taken the mound for 2,599 frames and has earned 3,099 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Chicago Cubs have an OBP of .320 and a team batting average of .245 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 787 occasions (6th in MLB) and are sitting with 739 base hits. Chicago has accounted for 88 home runs on the season and 355 RBIs. The Cubs hold a team slugging % of .395 and they are earning 4.26 runs per game (18th in MLB). They have put up 151 doubles, while taking a walk 298 times and putting up 379 runs.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.358 and have a FIP of 4.40 as a team over the course of the season. They rank 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 777. The Chicago pitching staff have surrendered 464 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 4.70 (415 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.60 (782 strikeouts against 301 free passes). They have relinquished 121 dingers and they relinquish 5.26 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).

Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.1% out of 123 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 93 times in high leverage situations and on 89 occasions with runners on. With 66 save situations, the Cubs have 28 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They rank 29th in baseball with a save rate of 51.4%, and they have dispatched 301 relievers to the hill for the year. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 35 save chances and they have walked away with 18 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 77 double plays and have a fielding rate of .982 (24th in professional baseball). The Cubs have recorded 799 assists, 57 errors and are sitting with 2,382 putouts this season. Out of their 7,146 innings played, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (26th in pro baseball).

Smyly (48-44 career record) is the owner of a 4.19 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.13 and he has gone up against 3,713 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 411 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.279 and a FIP of 4.3. In his career, Smyly has given up 851 hits while totaling 866 strikeouts in 882 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-165)

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