New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/30/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, September 30, 2022

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-115) Atlanta (-105)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (97-59) will try to defeat the New York Mets (98-58) on Friday. The odds on this game have New York at -115 while Atlanta is priced at -105. The total comes in at 6.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Jacob deGrom and Max Fried.

New York is slugging .410 and have struck out 1,166 times, while being walked on 495 occasions. They have recorded 707 RBI's and 1,364 hits so far this season, and their average at the plate is at .258. The Mets have tallied 265 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 161 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 744 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .332. As a unit, the New York Mets are recording 4.8 runs per game, which ranks them 4th in baseball.

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Mets pitchers have yielded 160 long balls in addition to 588 runs (6th in the league). They have walked 421 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.51 as a unit so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.57 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19. The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 3.58 on the campaign (8th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,504 hitters.

Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 133 times as well as having 123 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 76 holds this year (19th in baseball). The Mets bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 72.7% and has entered the game in 132 save situations. They have recorded 40 saves over the course of the season and have blown 15 of their 55 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 182 base runners on the year and 38.5% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 462 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Mets have turned 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,489 innings, which has them ranked 19th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have 4,163 putouts this year, as well as 1,308 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which ranks 3rd in the majors, and have earned 123 double plays.

deGrom has taken the mound for 1,320 innings and has tallied 1,596 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His ERA is 2.52 (369 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.999. He has allowed 1,016 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 303 walks. deGrom (82-56 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 2.60 while he has faced 5,195 opposing batters in the majors.

The Atlanta Braves have compiled an on-base percentage of .317 in addition to a batting average of .253 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,434 instances (3rd in baseball) and have recorded 1,343 base hits. Atlanta is sitting with 234 home runs on the campaign to go along with 728 runs batted in. The Braves have a team SLG% of .442 and they average 4.90 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have recorded 284 doubles, while walking 454 times as well as scoring 764 runs.

The Braves are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.186 and have a FIP of 3.45 as a pitching staff on the season. They come in at 4th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,171. The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 585 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.43 (532 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.11 (1,503 strikeouts vs 484 bases on balls). They have given up 141 homers and they surrender 3.77 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).

Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 78 save opportunities and they have walked away with 51 saves. They sit at 15th in MLB holding a save percentage of 65.4%, and they have sent 494 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this year. Their relievers have come in 174 times in high leverage situations and also on 133 occasions with runners on base. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of their 190 inherited base runners. With 184 save situations, the Braves have amassed 103 holds in addition to 27 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 103 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in the majors). The Braves have 1,329 assists, 73 errors and have earned a total of 4,188 putouts over the course of the season. In 12,564 innings played, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (13th in baseball).

Fried (53-25 career mark) has earned a 3.10 ERA while giving up 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.59 and he has faced 2,571 opposing hitters during his career. He has surrendered a total of 216 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.170 and having a FIP of 3.3. So far in his career, Fried has surrendered 563 base knocks and he has 614 strikeouts in 627 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-115)

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