New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/17/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, August 17, 2022

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-150) Atlanta (+130)

The New York Mets (75-41) are on their way to Truist Park on Wednesday where they will go up against the Atlanta Braves (71-46). The moneyline on this game has New York at -150 and Atlanta is priced at +130. The over/under is 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Max Scherzer and Jake Odorizzi.

The Mets have hit 198 two-baggers as a team and have hit 116 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging % of .408 and have been rung up 874 times, while taking a walk on 355 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.8 runs per contest, which has them at 4th in the league. They have earned 526 RBI's and 1,018 hits on the season, while their average at the plate sits at .259. They have notched a total of 553 runs and have an OBP of .330.

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Mets pitchers have given up 124 long balls and also 432 runs in total (4th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 316 batters and their FIP is 3.60 as a team this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.51 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.18. The Mets hold a team earned run average of 3.50 on the season (5th in the league), and they have struck out 1,108 hitters.

The Mets relievers have a save percentage of 70.2% and has entered the game in 112 save situations. The relievers have inherited 139 runners on the year and 39.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. Mets relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 103 times in addition to having 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 344 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have accumulated 64 holds on the season (12th in baseball). They have accumulated 33 saves on the season and have not converted 14 of their 47 save opportunities.

The Mets have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of 9,321 innings on the field, which ranks them 18th in MLB. The New York Mets have earned 3,107 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 988 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them ranked 6th in baseball, and they have turned 97 double plays.

Scherzer has taken the ball for 2,639 innings and has earned 3,146 K's so far in his career. Scherzer (198-99 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.10 while facing 10,668 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.11 (912 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.078. He has surrendered 2,150 hits (7.3 hits per nine innings) with 694 free passes.

Atlanta has 180 HRs for the year to go along with 543 RBIs. They have hit 222 two-baggers, while taking a walk 335 times as well as racking up 570 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold a team on-base percentage of .316 in addition to a batting average of .252 for the season. The Braves have a team slugging % of .447 and they score 4.87 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have been rung up on 1,082 occasions (2nd in the league) and have earned a total of 1,009 base knocks.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.230 in addition to having a FIP of 3.45 as a team this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.96 (1,111 strikeouts vs 375 walks). They rank 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 913. They have allowed 100 homers and they yield 3.96 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have allowed 461 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.61 (420 earned runs yielded).

Atlanta has had relievers step onto the hill in 63 save chances and they have walked away with 41 saves. They rank 15th in the league holding a save percentage of 65.1%, and they have sent 365 relievers onto the diamond this year. Their relievers have come in 127 times in high leverage situations and also on 101 occasions with base runners. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.0% of 150 inherited base runners. Sitting with 137 save situations, the Braves have 71 holds in addition to 22 blown saves.

The Atlanta Braves have gotten 83 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in pro baseball). The Braves have accrued 1,014 assists, 53 errors and have a tally of 3,142 putouts for the year. Out of their 9,426 innings played, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in baseball).

Odorizzi (72-67 career win-loss record) holds a 3.94 ERA and has allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.76 and he has gone up against 5,110 batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 532 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.242 and a FIP of 4.1. So far in his MLB career, Odorizzi has surrendered 1,097 hits while he has accumulated 1,138 strikeouts in 1,215 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-150)

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