Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/30/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, July 30, 2022

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+120) San Diego (-140)

The Minnesota Twins (52-46) are traveling to Petco Park on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the San Diego Padres (55-45). The moneyline on this matchup has Minnesota at +120 and San Diego is sitting at -140. The over/under is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Sonny Gray and Joe Musgrove.

As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are knocking in 4.6 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 10th in the league. They have racked up 448 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .323. The Twins have hit 169 two-baggers as a team and have hit 122 balls out of the stadium. They have 433 runs batted in in addition to 837 hits on the year, and their average at the plate sits at .252. Minnesota is slugging .420 and have been called out on strikes 800 times, while drawing a walk on 322 occasions.

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The Twins have an earned run average of 3.99 for the season (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 785 batters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.65 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Twins pitchers have relinquished 118 long balls and 415 runs in total (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 296 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.22 as a team over the course of the season.

Twins pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 75 times and also have had 103 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 60 holds so far this season (8th in MLB). The Twins relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 54.1% and has come into the game in 98 save situations. They have accumulated 20 saves this season and have blown 17 of 37 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 113 base runners so far this season and 29.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Twins have sent 330 relief pitchers to the mound this season.

The Twins have transformed 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,812 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 5th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have notched a total of 2,604 putouts this season, as well as 804 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which puts them in 10th in MLB, and have earned 70 double plays.

Gray has taken the hill for 1,336 frames and has accumulated 1,285 strikeouts during his career. Gray (87-75 career record) holds a FIP of 3.68 while he has faced 5,569 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.60 (535 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.214. He has conceded 1,151 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has 471 walks.

The San Diego Padres hold an OBP of .316 in addition to a team batting average of .240 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 818 occasions (19th in the league) and have 811 base hits. San Diego has hit 81 long balls so far this year as well as 417 runs batted in. The Padres have a team SLG% of .371 and they score 4.32 runs per game (18th in the league). They have notched 172 doubles, while walking 349 times and scoring 432 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.212 in addition to having a FIP of 3.75 as a unit so far this season. They sit at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 773. The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 407 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.78 (375 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio is 2.87 (888 strikeouts vs 309 walks). They have relinquished 98 long balls and they yield 4.10 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB).

San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 41.0% out of 122 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 108 times in high leverage situations and also on 82 occasions with base runners. With 103 save situations, the Padres have tallied 49 holds and 16 blown saves. They are ranked 11th in the league with a save rate of 68.0%, and they have dispatched 287 relievers onto the diamond for the year. San Diego has had relievers step onto the hill in 50 save opportunities and they have converted 34 saves.

In 8,037 innings on the diamond, the Padres have a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (8th in the majors). The San Diego Padres have turned 76 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in pro baseball). The Padres have 900 assists, 42 errors and have earned 2,679 putouts during this campaign.

Musgrove (48-50 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.83 earned run average while surrendering 8.2 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.85 and he has faced 3,271 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 335 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.163 and a FIP of 3.8. So far in his career, Musgrove has given up 715 hits while he has earned 774 K's in 787 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+120)

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