Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction, 10/1/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Comerica Park in Detroit, MI

TV: Bally Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-155) Detroit (+135)

The Detroit Tigers (63-92) will try to defeat the Minnesota Twins (76-80) at Comerica Park on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Twins at -155 while the Tigers open at +135. The over/under comes in at 8. The starting pitchers are Dylan Bundy and Tyler Alexander.

The Twins have earned 262 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 172 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota is slugging .402 and have struck out 1,299 times, while drawing a walk on 493 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, which puts them at 16th in baseball. They have accumulated 642 RBI's in addition to 1,310 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate sits at .248. They have tallied 670 runs while holding a team OBP of .317.

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The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 4.02 so far this season (19th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,292 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 459 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a unit so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.81 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Twins pitchers have yielded 179 long balls in addition to 664 runs in total (15th in the league).

Twins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 131 times in addition to having 165 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 100 holds so far this year (5th in baseball). The Twins relievers have earned a save percentage of 50.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 155 save situations. They have tallied 27 saves on the year and have blown 27 of their 54 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 181 base runners on the year and 29.3% of those players crossed the plate. The Twins have dispatched 534 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Minnesota Twins have a total of 4,161 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,269 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which puts them in 10th in professional baseball, and they have turned 118 double plays. The Twins have turned 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,483 innings, which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball.

Bundy has pitched in 905 innings and is sitting with 849 K's so far in his MLB career. Bundy (54-65 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.68 and he has faced 3,867 batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.75 (478 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.305. He has conceded 897 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 285 free passes.

The Tigers have a team SLG% of .346 and they earn 3.41 runs per outing (30th in baseball). They have hit 230 doubles, while getting a free base 362 times and putting up 529 runs. Detroit has tallied 102 home runs on the campaign as well as 505 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,351 instances (10th in the league) and have 1,188 base knocks. The Detroit Tigers have compiled an OBP of .287 in addition to a team batting average of .231 on the year.

The Tigers have a WHIP of 1.290 and have a FIP of 4.15 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.33 (1,127 strikeouts against 483 walks). They have a ranking of 13th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,269. They have given up 158 dingers and they surrender 4.49 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Detroit pitching staff have conceded 678 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.03 (608 earned runs allowed).

With 142 save situations, the Tigers have accrued 88 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Detroit has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 51 save chances and they have come away with 35 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 152 times in high leverage situations in addition to 112 occasions with runners on. Detroit bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.2% of 181 inherited runners. They rank 9th in the league with a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 554 relievers to the mound on the season.

In 12,222 innings on the diamond, the Tigers have a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (11th in the majors). The Detroit Tigers have turned 130 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (23rd in MLB). The Tigers have racked up 1,349 assists, 90 errors and have amassed 4,074 putouts so far this season.

During his MLB career, Alexander has allowed 309 base knocks while earning 218 punch outs in 286 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 137 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.301 and a FIP of 4.6. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.41 and he has faced 1,217 hitters in his MLB career. Alexander (9-21 career win-loss record) holds a 4.30 ERA while surrendering 9.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Detroit (+135)

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