Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 9/18/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Sunday, September 18, 2022

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+140) Cleveland (-165)

Progressive Field is the location where the Cleveland Guardians (77-66) will attempt to beat the Minnesota Twins (72-71) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Twins at +140 while the Guardians are opening at -165. The total is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Joe Ryan and Cody Morris.

The Twins have earned 240 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 165 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .408 and have been called out on strikes 1,182 times, while drawing a walk on 459 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 16th in the league. They have compiled 596 RBI's as well as 1,203 hits on the season, and their average at the plate sits at .249. They have racked up 621 runs scored and hold an OBP of .318.

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The Twins have an earned run average of 3.96 on the year (18th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,193 batters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.83 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.24. Twins pitchers have given up 166 home runs in addition to 601 total runs (11th in MLB). They have walked 422 hitters and their FIP is 4.06 as a squad this year.

The Twins have sent 493 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have inherited 167 base runners this season with 30.5% of them crossed the plate. They have 26 saves this year and have blown 27 of 53 save opportunities. The Twins bullpen have a save percentage of 49.1% and has come into the game in 151 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 97 holds this season (3rd in baseball). Twins pitchers have come into the game with runners on 117 times in addition to having 160 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Minnesota Twins have earned 3,808 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,160 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which puts them in 8th in the majors, and have a total of 106 double plays. The Twins have turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,424 innings on the field, which has them ranked 8th in MLB.

Ryan (13-9 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.09 while he has gone up against 634 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 119 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 46 free passes. His ERA is 3.87 (67 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.058. Ryan has taken the mound for 156 innings and has earned 163 punch outs so far in his career.

The Guardians have a SLG% of .380 and they have an average of 4.15 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have recorded 250 doubles, while getting a free base 388 times and scoring 594 runs. Cleveland has hit 111 HRs for the season to go along with 566 runs batted in. They have struck out on 981 instances (30th in the league) and have totaled 1,227 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians hold an OBP of .313 and a team batting average of .251 over the course of the season.

The Guardians have a team WHIP of 1.188 in addition to having a FIP of 3.85 as a staff so far this year. They sit at 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,112. The Cleveland pitching staff have yielded 567 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.61 (511 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.02 (1,209 strikeouts vs 400 free passes). They have surrendered 155 dingers and they yield 4.01 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball).

Cleveland has had relief pitchers take the mound in 58 save opportunities and they have recorded 43 saves. They sit at 3rd in the league with a save rate of 74.1%, and they have dispatched 442 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 143 times in high leverage situations in addition to 116 occasions with runners on base. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score rate of 29.4% of 163 inherited base runners. Sitting with 115 save situations, the Guardians have earned 53 holds in addition to 15 blown saves.

Out of their 11,457 innings on the field, the Guardians hold a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (7th in baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 112 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (22nd in the majors). The Guardians have racked up 1,262 assists, 83 errors and have earned a total of 3,819 putouts so far this year.

In his career, Morris has allowed 9 hits and he has 9 K's in 9 innings pitched. Morris (0-1 career record) holds a 2.79 ERA and has conceded 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 3 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.759 and a FIP of 6.4. His K/BB ratio is 1.13 and he has faced 44 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (-165)

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