Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 9/25/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, September 25, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-180) Cincinnati (+155)

The Milwaukee Brewers (81-70) are traveling to Great American Ball Park on Sunday where they will compete against the Cincinnati Reds (59-92). The moneyline on this contest has Milwaukee at -180 while Cincinnati is sitting at +155. The betting total comes in at 7. The starting pitchers are Freddy Peralta and Nick Lodolo.

The Brewers have accrued 229 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 208 baseballs out of the park. Milwaukee is slugging .410 and have been called out on strikes 1,359 times, while drawing a walk on 540 occasions. As a team, the Milwaukee Brewers are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 9th in the league. They have accrued 668 runs batted in and 1,187 hits on the season, and their team batting average comes in at .235. They have earned a total of 687 runs scored and have an OBP of .316.

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Brewers pitchers have conceded 181 long balls and 656 runs in total (18th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 491 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.99 as a team over the course of the season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.88 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. The Brewers have a team ERA of 3.92 on the campaign (15th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,414 hitters.

Brewers bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 123 times in addition to having 184 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 100 holds so far this season (4th in baseball). The Brewers relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 64.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 178 save situations. They have compiled 50 saves on the season and have blown 28 of their 78 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 172 runners this year and 28.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Brewers have sent 506 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 4,032 putouts this year, in addition to 1,320 assists and 84 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which has them ranked 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 112 double plays. The Brewers have converted 70.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,096 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 10th in professional baseball.

Peralta has taken the mound for 407 innings and has racked up 529 punch outs thus far in his career. Peralta (30-16 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.40 while he has faced 1,694 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.80 (172 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.127. He has given up 289 base knocks (6.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 170 free passes.

The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an OBP of .306 in addition to a team batting average of .239 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,334 occasions (7th in baseball) and have earned 1,201 base knocks. Cincinnati has knocked in 149 long balls on the year as well as 599 runs batted in. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .378 and they score 4.15 runs per contest (22nd in MLB). They have recorded 223 two-baggers, while walking 424 times as well as notching 626 runs.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.388 with a FIP of 4.61 as a unit on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.34 (1,322 strikeouts against 566 bases on balls). They rank 21st in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,278. They have conceded 203 dingers and they surrender 5.11 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 754 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 4.81 (710 earned runs allowed).

Cincinnati has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 50 save opportunities and they have earned 29 saves. They rank 20th in the league with a save rate of 58.0%, and they have dispatched 538 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 136 times in high leverage situations and on 157 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score rate of 33.2% of 238 inherited runners. With 109 save situations, the Reds have compiled 58 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

In 11,958 innings played, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in MLB). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 108 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in the majors). The Reds have accrued 1,195 assists, 74 errors and have accounted for 3,986 putouts on the campaign.

Lodolo (4-7 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.90 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.64 and he has gone up against 396 hitters in his MLB career. He has surrendered 40 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.267 and a FIP of 3.9. In his pro baseball career, Lodolo has allowed 84 base hits while he has totaled 120 strikeouts in 92 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+155)

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