Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/31/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 31, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-145) Boston (+125)

The Milwaukee Brewers (56-44) are on their way to Fenway Park on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Boston Red Sox (50-51). The odds on this game have Milwaukee at -145 while Boston is at +125. The total is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Aaron Ashby and Josh Winckowski.

Milwaukee owns a slugging percentage of .413 and have struck out 886 times, while drawing a walk on 355 occasions. They have recorded 451 RBI's and 797 base knocks this year, and their team batting average is at .238. The Brewers have accumulated 151 doubles as a team and have hit 136 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 463 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .318. As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are knocking in 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 7th in the league.

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The Brewers have a team earned run average of 3.86 on the season (11th in the league), and their staff has struck out 953 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 324 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.85 as a unit on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 113 long balls in addition to 423 total runs (13th in the league).

Brewers pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 73 times and also have had 126 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 65 holds for the season (5th in baseball). The Brewers relievers have earned a save percentage of 74.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 115 save situations. They have compiled 37 saves over the course of the season and have blown 13 of their 50 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 110 runners this season with 29.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Brewers have sent 323 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have 2,666 putouts so far this season, as well as 852 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which has them sitting 18th in the majors, and have a total of 73 double plays. The Brewers have transformed 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,998 innings, which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball.

Ashby has taken the hill for 107 innings and is sitting with 131 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 4.43 (53 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.356. He has conceded 101 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 45 free passes. Ashby (5-10 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.76 while facing 470 hitters in the major leagues.

Boston is sitting with 100 home runs this season to go along with 435 runs batted in. They have notched 225 two-baggers, while taking a walk 288 times as well as racking up 457 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for a team OBP of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .254 this year. The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .409 and they score 4.52 runs per game (13th in the league). They have struck out on 844 occasions (16th in the league) and have earned 884 base hits.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 474 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.30 (431 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 109 dingers and they surrender 4.73 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.304 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.05 as a unit for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.62 (855 strikeouts against 326 walks). They rank 22nd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 849.

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.5% out of their 159 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 116 times in high leverage situations and also on 110 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 101 save situations, the Red Sox have 58 holds and 22 blown saves. They sit at 30th in MLB with a save rate of 48.8%, and they have sent 372 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season. Boston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 43 save chances and they have walked away with 21 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 89 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in pro baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 901 assists, 61 errors and have accounted for 2,704 putouts so far this year. Out of their 8,112 innings played, the Red Sox hold a efficiency on defense of 69.0% (21st in pro baseball).

In his career, Winckowski has conceded 45 base hits and he has 27 K's in 40 innings pitched. He has conceded 23 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.500 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.80 and he has faced 177 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Winckowski (3-5 record in his career) has earned a 5.18 earned run average and has allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+125)

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