Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/29/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, July 29, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-155) Boston (+135)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (49-50) will go up against the Milwaukee Brewers (55-44) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Brewers at -155 and the Red Sox are at +135. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Brandon Woodruff and Brayan Bello.

As a squad, the Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 7th in the league. They have tallied 459 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .318. The Brewers have earned 149 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 136 balls out of the park. They have recorded 447 RBI's as well as 789 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate sits at .238. Milwaukee has a slugging percentage of .414 and have been called out on strikes 874 times, while being walked on 350 occasions.

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The Brewers have an ERA of 3.89 this year (12th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 939 batters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.92 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Brewers pitchers have surrendered 113 home runs and 422 total runs (16th in the league). They have walked 322 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.89 as a team on the campaign.

The Brewers relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 73.5% and has entered the game in 112 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 108 base runners for the year with 29.6% of them earned a run for their team. Brewers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 72 times as well as having 124 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have dispatched 320 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 63 holds over the course of the season (6th in MLB). They have compiled 36 saves this year and have blown 13 out of their 49 save opportunities.

The Brewers have transformed 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,917 innings, which has them sitting at 17th in the majors. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 2,639 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 844 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .984 which ranks 18th in MLB, and they have turned 73 double plays.

Woodruff (36-24 career record) has a FIP of 3.13 while facing 2,155 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 435 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) with 141 walks. His ERA is 3.30 (195 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.082. Woodruff has taken the ball for 532 innings and is sitting with 616 K's during his career.

The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .316 as well as a batting average of .255 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 823 occasions (18th in MLB) and have totaled 871 base hits. Boston has a total of 99 home runs for the season to go along with 430 RBIs. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .411 and they are recording 4.57 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have put up 221 doubles, while walking 283 times as well as notching 452 runs.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.309 and have a FIP of 4.07 as a team this year. They rank 23rd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 836. The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 468 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.32 (424 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.62 (838 strikeouts vs 320 walks). They have conceded 108 long balls and they surrender 4.77 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball).

Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 36.3% out of their 157 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 116 times in high leverage situations and on 108 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 58 holds in addition to 22 blown saves. They rank 30th in baseball holding a save rate of 47.6%, and they have sent 367 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Boston has had relief pitchers take the mound in 42 save chances and they have recorded 20 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 86 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (19th in MLB). The Red Sox have racked up 882 assists, 60 errors and have notched a total of 2,650 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 7,950 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (21st in baseball).

Bello (0-2 career mark) holds a 10.50 earned run average while conceding 16.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.13 and he has faced 64 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 14 ER's while earning a WHIP of 2.500 and a FIP of 3.9. In his career, Bello has given up 22 base hits while he has earned 9 punch outs in 12 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+135)

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