Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 7/24/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, July 24, 2022

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-140) Pittsburgh (+120)

PNC Park is where the Pittsburgh Pirates (39-55) will meet the Miami Marlins (44-49) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Marlins at -140 and the Pirates are coming in at +120. The total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Sandy Alcantara and Mitch Keller.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 24th in MLB. They have 379 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .302. The Marlins have accumulated 142 doubles as a squad and have hit 91 balls out of the park. They have earned 358 runs batted in and 743 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .238. Miami has a slugging percentage of .379 and have struck out 807 times, while drawing a walk on 259 occasions.

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The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.80 so far this season (10th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 809 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 293 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.91 as a team this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23. Marlins pitchers have given up 97 long balls and also 392 runs in total (12th in MLB).

The Marlins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 59.0% and stepped onto the hill in 86 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 108 base runners over the course of the season with 35.2% of them crossed the plate. Marlins bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 76 times and also have had 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 311 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have notched 45 holds for the season (20th in the league). They have accumulated 23 saves on the year and have blown 16 out of their 39 save opportunities.

The Marlins have converted 70.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,431 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 11th in professional baseball. The Miami Marlins have accumulated 2,477 putouts this year, in addition to 856 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which has them sitting 11th in professional baseball, and have earned 72 double plays.

Alcantara has taken the mound for 625 innings and has earned 554 punch outs in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.11 (216 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.149. He has conceded 511 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 208 free passes. Alcantara (29-38 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.75 and he has faced 2,556 hitters in the major leagues.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are sitting with an on-base percentage of .289 and a batting average of .221 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 872 occasions (3rd in the league) and have accounted for 680 base hits. Pittsburgh is sitting with 98 HRs over the course of the season as well as 319 RBIs. The Pirates have a team SLG% of .368 and they earn 3.63 runs per contest (28th in MLB). They have put up 130 doubles, while getting a free base 279 times and recording 341 runs.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.434 and have a FIP of 4.32 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.18 (740 strikeouts against 339 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 27th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 843. They have allowed 102 HR's and they relinquish 5.26 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB). The Pittsburgh pitching staff have given up 482 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.71 (431 earned runs yielded).

Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.8% out of their 136 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 101 times in high leverage situations and on 90 occasions with base runners. With 91 save situations, the Pirates have tallied 48 holds and 17 blown saves. They are ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.5%, and they have sent 295 relievers to the mound so far this year. Pittsburgh has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 40 save chances and they have converted 23 saves.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 87 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (30th in baseball). The Pirates have 878 assists, 66 errors and have accounted for 2,474 putouts this season. Out of their 7,422 innings on the field, the Pirates have a defensive efficiency of 67.4% (30th in MLB).

Keller (10-24 record in his career) has a 5.52 ERA and has conceded 10.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.14 and he has gone up against 1,173 opposing batters in his career. He has given up a total of 159 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.639 and a FIP of 4.2. In his MLB career, Keller has given up 308 base hits while he has earned 250 K's in 259 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-140)

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