Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, August 11, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+140) Philadelphia (-165)

The Miami Marlins (49-60) are traveling to Citizens Bank Park on Thursday where they will go up against the Philadelphia Phillies (61-48). The moneyline on this game has Miami at +140 and Philadelphia is priced at -165. The betting total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Edward Cabrera and Kyle Gibson.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 3.8 runs per contest, which ranks them 26th in the league. They have earned a total of 416 runs scored and hold an OBP of .299. The Marlins have recorded 165 doubles as a team and have hit 101 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 393 runs batted in as well as 858 hits for the year, and their team batting average sits at .235. Miami has a slugging rate of .371 and have been called out on strikes 948 times, while drawing a walk on 293 occasions.

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The Marlins are sitting with a team ERA of 3.81 so far this year (10th in the league), and they have struck out 950 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 336 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.85 as a team for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.83 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Marlins pitchers have given up 111 home runs and 455 runs in total (10th in MLB).

Marlins pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 85 times as well as having 112 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 50 holds so far this season (22nd in the league). The Marlins relievers have recorded a save percentage of 58.7% and has entered the game in 98 save situations. They have tallied 27 saves on the campaign and have blown 19 out of their 46 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 121 base runners on the season and 33.1% of those runners crossed the plate. The Marlins have sent 359 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Marlins have turned 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of 8,610 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 14th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins have amassed 2,870 putouts this year, as well as 996 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball, and they have turned 86 double plays.

Cabrera (2-4 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 5.61 while facing 206 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 34 hits (6.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 31 walks. His ERA is 4.40 (23 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.383. Cabrera has taken the ball for 47 innings and has accounted for 51 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled a team OBP of .314 and a batting average of .250 on the season. They have been rung up on 903 occasions (19th in the league) and have totaled 923 base hits. Philadelphia has recorded 148 home runs for the season to go along with 500 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .426 and they tally 4.77 runs per outing (6th in MLB). They have recorded 170 two-baggers, while taking a walk 324 times as well as scoring 520 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.221 in addition to having a FIP of 3.67 as a pitching staff so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.03 (957 strikeouts vs 316 walks). They are sitting at 8th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 865. They have allowed 103 HR's and they surrender 4.14 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have relinquished 445 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.78 (406 earned runs allowed).

Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.3% out of their 146 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 107 times in high leverage situations and on 98 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 54 holds and also 11 blown saves. They rank 5th in the league holding a save percentage of 71.8%, and they have dispatched 355 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. Philadelphia has called on relievers to enter the contest in 39 save opportunities and they have walked away with 28 saves.

In their 8,622 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (17th in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 87 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (5th in professional baseball). The Phillies have recorded 950 assists, 47 errors and have accumulated 2,874 putouts so far this season.

So far in his career, Gibson has surrendered 1,476 hits while he has earned 1,146 K's in 1,452 innings. Gibson (86-87 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.44 earned run average while surrendering 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has given up 717 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.373 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.21 and he has gone up against 6,228 batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-165) and under 8 runs

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