Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+165) New York (-195)

The Miami Marlins (63-90) are traveling to Citi Field on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the New York Mets (97-57). The odds on this game have the Marlins at +165 while the Mets are priced at -195. The total is set at 6.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jesus Luzardo and Taijuan Walker.

The Marlins have recorded 236 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 136 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging % of .364 and have been called out on strikes 1,331 times, while taking a walk on 409 occasions. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.6 runs per game, which is 28th in baseball. They have recorded 517 runs batted in and 1,173 hits on the year, while their team batting average sits at .230. They have accounted for 547 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .295.

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The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.92 this year (15th in the league), and they have struck out 1,346 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Marlins pitchers have allowed 168 long balls and 647 runs in total (13th in baseball). They have walked 478 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.96 as a unit so far this season.

The Marlins have sent 493 relievers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 184 base runners on the year with 37.5% of those players crossed the plate. They have accumulated 36 saves so far this season and have blown 27 out of their 63 save opportunities. The Marlins bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 57.1% and has entered the game in 132 save situations. The relievers have notched 66 holds for the year (23rd in baseball). Marlins pitchers have come into the game with runners on 124 times in addition to having 151 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Miami Marlins have earned 4,062 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,389 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them sitting 4th in the majors, and have a total of 136 double plays. The Marlins have turned 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,186 innings on the field, which has them sitting 17th in professional baseball.

Luzardo (12-18 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.29 and he has gone up against 1,084 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 230 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 100 free passes. His earned run average is 4.74 (134 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.296. Luzardo has taken the ball for 254 innings and has totaled 275 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

New York has tallied 159 HRs on the year as well as 699 RBIs. They have recorded 263 doubles, while taking a walk 488 times as well as putting up 735 runs. The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .333 in addition to a batting average of .259 this year. The Mets have a SLG% of .411 and they are earning 4.77 runs per contest (4th in baseball). They have struck out on 1,150 occasions (27th in the league) and have recorded 1,350 base hits.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.185 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.52 as a staff for the year. They come in at 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,208. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 578 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.57 (542 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.57 (1,476 strikeouts vs 414 bases on balls). They have given up 158 homers and they relinquish 3.80 runs per 9 innings (5th in MLB).

Sitting with 132 save situations, the Mets have recorded 76 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 55 save chances and they have come away with 40 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 131 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 38.3% out of their 180 inherited base runners. They are ranked 4th in MLB holding a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have dispatched 454 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year.

The New York Mets have gotten 120 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in pro baseball). The Mets have 1,292 assists, 65 errors and have earned a total of 4,106 putouts over the course of the season. In 12,318 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (18th in pro baseball).

Walker (54-50 mark in his career) has a 3.90 earned run average and has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.79 and he has gone up against 3,731 opposing batters in his MLB career. He has conceded 385 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.225 and a FIP of 4.2. In his MLB career, Walker has conceded 807 base knocks while he has totaled 788 punch outs in 888 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-195)

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