Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/27/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 27, 2022

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+170) New York (-200)

The Miami Marlins (63-90) are on their way to Citi Field on Tuesday where they will take on the New York Mets (97-57). The moneyline on this game has the Marlins at +170 and the Mets are priced at -200. The total comes in at 7. The starting pitchers are Pablo Lopez and Carlos Carrasco.

Miami has a slugging % of .364 and have struck out 1,331 times, while being walked on 409 occasions. They have 517 runs batted in and 1,173 hits this year, while their batting average sits at .230. The Marlins have accumulated 236 doubles as a unit and have hit 136 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 547 runs scored while having a team OBP of .295. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are putting up 3.6 runs per game, which ranks them 28th in MLB.

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Marlins pitchers have conceded 168 home runs and 647 total runs (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 478 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.96 as a team for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27. The Marlins have compiled a team earned run average of 3.92 for the year (16th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,346 batters.

The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 57.1% and has entered the game in 132 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 184 base runners on the season and 37.5% of those runners crossed the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 124 times in addition to having 152 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 493 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have recorded 66 holds so far this year (23rd in the league). They have earned 36 saves on the campaign and have not converted 27 out of their 63 chances to get a save.

The Marlins have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,186 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 17th in pro baseball. The Miami Marlins are sitting with 4,062 putouts thus far, as well as 1,389 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which puts them in 4th in professional baseball, and have 136 double plays.

Lopez has pitched in 497 innings and has totaled 477 K's so far in his pro baseball career. Lopez (27-31 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.79 and he has faced 2,063 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.98 (220 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.197. He has surrendered 456 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 139 walks.

The Mets have a SLG% of .411 and they score 4.77 runs per game (4th in baseball). They have hit 263 two-baggers, while getting a free base 488 times as well as scoring 735 runs. New York has hit 159 home runs this year to go along with 700 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,150 occasions (27th in the league) and have recorded 1,350 hits. The New York Mets have tallied an OBP of .333 and a batting average of .259 so far this year.

The Mets have a WHIP of 1.185 with a FIP of 3.52 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.57 (1,476 strikeouts vs 414 walks). They are sitting at 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,208. They have yielded 158 dingers and they surrender 3.80 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have allowed 578 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.57 (542 earned runs surrendered).

New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 38.3% of 180 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 121 times in high leverage situations and on 131 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 132 save situations, the Mets have amassed 76 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. They are ranked 4th in the league holding a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have dispatched 454 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 55 save opportunities and they have tallied 40 saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 120 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (3rd in professional baseball). The Mets have recorded 1,292 assists, 65 errors and are sitting with 4,106 putouts so far this year. In 12,318 innings played, the Mets have earned a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (18th in professional baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Carrasco has conceded 1,374 base knocks while he has earned 1,502 K's in 1,441 frames. Carrasco (104-84 career record) has earned a 3.85 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 617 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.216 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.97 and he has faced 5,962 opposing hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-200)

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