Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/11/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, June 11, 2022

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+215) Houston (-265)

The Miami Marlins (25-30) are traveling to Minute Maid Park on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Houston Astros (36-21). The line on this matchup has the Marlins at +215 while the Astros are priced at -265. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Braxton Garrett and Framber Valdez.

As a squad, the Miami Marlins are compiling 4.5 runs per contest, which is 11th in the league. They have accumulated 246 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. The Marlins have accumulated 86 doubles as a squad and have smacked 59 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 233 RBI's and 460 hits on the year, while their average at the plate sits at .247. Miami is slugging .399 and have been called out on strikes 485 times, while drawing a walk on 175 occasions.

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Marlins pitchers have allowed 59 home runs and also 225 runs in total (8th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 179 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.97 as a squad on the campaign. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.22. The Marlins have a team ERA of 3.75 on the campaign (12th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 489 batters.

The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 60.0% and has entered the game in 49 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 67 base runners over the course of the season with 35.8% of those runners crossed the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 46 times in addition to having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 187 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have 28 holds for the year (19th in MLB). They have recorded 12 saves this year and have blown 8 out of their 20 chances to get a save.

The Marlins have converted 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,362 innings, which ranks them 10th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have a tally of 1,454 putouts thus far, in addition to 480 assists and 25 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which is 9th in MLB, and they have turned 41 double plays.

Garrett has taken the hill for 45 frames and has earned 45 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 5.60 (28 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.800. He has surrendered 55 base hits (11.0 hits per nine innings) and has 26 free passes. Garrett (2-4 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 5.19 and he has faced 211 batters in the majors.

The Houston Astros have tallied a team OBP of .313 as well as a team batting average of .235 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 422 occasions (28th in the league) and have accounted for 442 base knocks. Houston has accounted for 73 home runs so far this season to go along with 228 runs batted in. The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .405 and they average 4.11 runs per game (22nd in baseball). They have tallied 88 doubles, while getting a free base 200 times as well as scoring 234 runs.

The Houston pitching staff have conceded 189 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.01 (168 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 47 homers and they surrender 3.39 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.147 and have a FIP of 3.66 as a pitching staff this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.82 (466 strikeouts vs 165 free passes). They come in at 6th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 411.

With 53 save situations, the Astros have earned 34 holds and also 3 blown saves. Houston has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 19 save opportunities and they have recorded 16 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 54 times in high leverage situations and on 42 occasions with base runners. Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 23.4% out of their 64 inherited runners. They are ranked 1st in the league with a save percentage of 84.2%, and they have sent 177 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season.

Out of their 4,521 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.1% (3rd in MLB). The Houston Astros have gotten 43 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in the majors). The Astros have accrued 453 assists, 24 errors and have earned a total of 1,507 putouts for the year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Valdez has surrendered 322 base hits while he has earned 358 K's in 382 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 150 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.280 and having a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.14 and he has gone up against 1,623 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Valdez (30-19 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.53 earned run average while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-265)

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