Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Thursday, July 28, 2022
Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (37-59) will attempt to beat the Miami Marlins (46-51) on Thursday. The expected starting pitchers are Jordan Holloway and Graham Ashcraft.
The Marlins have accounted for 145 doubles as a squad and have knocked 92 balls out of the park. Miami has a slugging rate of .375 and have struck out 847 times, while drawing a walk on 265 occasions. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are recording 4.0 runs per contest, which is 24th in baseball. They have tallied 367 RBI's as well as 777 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is at .238. They have 389 runs while holding a team OBP of .302.
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The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 3.81 over the course of the season (9th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 851 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 306 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.90 as a squad this year. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.78 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Marlins pitchers have allowed 101 home runs and also 410 runs in total (13th in the league).
The Marlins have dispatched 325 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners so far this season and 34.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 25 saves so far this season and have missed out on 17 of 42 save opportunities. The Marlins bullpen have a save rate of 59.5% and has come into the game in 92 save situations. The relievers have a total of 48 holds on the year (21st in baseball). Marlins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 78 times in addition to having 104 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Marlins have transformed 70.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,746 innings on the field, which ranks them 11th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have earned a total of 2,582 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 894 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them ranked 11th in the majors, and have accumulated 76 double plays.
Holloway (2-3 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.37 while facing 173 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 28 hits (6.5 hits per 9 innings) with 28 free passes. His ERA is 3.92 (17 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.436. Holloway has pitched in 39 innings and has earned 38 punch outs during his career.
The Reds have a SLG% of .380 and they average 4.38 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have put up 149 doubles, while getting a free base 267 times as well as scoring 420 runs. Cincinnati is sitting with 92 long balls this year as well as 401 RBIs. They have struck out on 845 occasions (10th in MLB) and have a total of 760 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for an OBP of .308 and a batting average of .239 for the year.
The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.428 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.68 as a staff for the season. They sit at 25th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 835. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 515 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 5.19 (486 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.30 (850 strikeouts vs 369 free passes). They have allowed 132 home runs and they allow 5.50 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB).
Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 37.3% out of their 150 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 83 times in high leverage situations in addition to 97 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 67 save situations, the Reds have 36 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. They are currently ranked 23rd in the league with a save percentage of 58.1%, and they have sent 341 relief pitchers onto the field this year. Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 31 save opportunities and they have come away with 18 saves.
The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 59 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (16th in the majors). The Reds have recorded 719 assists, 50 errors and have notched a total of 2,529 putouts so far this year. Out of their 7,587 innings played, the Reds have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (26th in pro baseball).
During his MLB career, Ashcraft has conceded 69 base knocks and he has 40 punch outs in 59 innings pitched. Ashcraft (4-2 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.70 earned run average while giving up 10.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up 31 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.416 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and he has gone up against 265 opposing hitters in his career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami
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Additional Resources:
Cincinnati Reds - Twitter
Miami Marlins - Twitter