Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/27/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, July 27, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+105) Cincinnati (-125)

Great American Ball Park is the location where the Cincinnati Reds (37-58) will meet the Miami Marlins (45-51) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Marlins at +105 while the Reds are sitting at -125. The over/under comes in at 7.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Braxton Garrett and Luis Castillo.

As a unit, the Miami Marlins are earning 4.0 runs per game, which is 24th in MLB. They have a total of 387 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .302. The Marlins have tallied 144 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 92 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 365 RBI's as well as 766 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average comes in at .238. Miami is slugging .376 and have been called out on strikes 837 times, while being walked on 263 occasions.

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Marlins pitchers have surrendered 100 long balls and 409 runs in total (13th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 306 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.93 as a unit for the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.84 on the campaign (11th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 839 batters.

The Marlins bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 58.5% and has come into the game in 90 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 109 base runners for the year with 34.9% of those runners ended up scoring. Marlins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 78 times as well as having 102 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 323 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have tallied 47 holds on the season (21st in the league). They have compiled 24 saves on the campaign and have blown 17 of their 41 save chances.

The Marlins have converted 69.9% of balls in play into outs in their 7,665 innings, ranking them 12th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have a tally of 2,555 putouts this season, as well as 885 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 11th in pro baseball, and have earned 76 double plays.

Garrett has taken the mound for 89 frames and has earned 87 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Garrett (4-6 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.22 and he has faced 389 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.25 (42 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.449. He has given up 93 base hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has 36 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .241 on the year. They have been rung up on 833 occasions (11th in the league) and have totaled 758 hits. Cincinnati has accumulated 91 HRs on the campaign to go along with 400 RBIs. The Reds have a SLG% of .381 and they score 4.41 runs per contest (16th in the league). They have put up 149 doubles, while walking 267 times and scoring 419 runs.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.428 with a FIP of 4.72 as a squad so far this season. They come in at 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 824. The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 513 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 5.22 (484 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.29 (840 strikeouts vs 367 bases on balls). They have surrendered 132 homers and they yield 5.54 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.8% of 148 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 82 times in high leverage situations and on 96 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 67 save situations, the Reds have 36 holds and also 13 blown saves. They sit at 23rd in baseball holding a save rate of 58.1%, and they have dispatched 339 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 31 save opportunities and they have earned 18 saves.

In 7,506 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (24th in pro baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have turned 59 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (16th in MLB). The Reds have racked up 714 assists, 50 errors and have accumulated 2,502 putouts so far this season.

Castillo (43-53 record in his career) has earned a 3.62 ERA while conceding 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and he has faced 3,264 batters during his career. He has given up 316 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.206 and having a FIP of 3.7. In his MLB career, Castillo has allowed 661 base hits while accumulating 852 punch outs in 785 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-125)

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