Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/25/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, July 25, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-105) Cincinnati (-115)

The Miami Marlins (44-50) are hitting the road to Great American Ball Park on Monday where they will meet the Cincinnati Reds (35-58). The odds on this game have Miami at -105 and Cincinnati opens at -115. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Trevor Rogers and Luis Castillo.

Miami is slugging .377 and have struck out 815 times, while drawing a walk on 260 occasions. They have recorded 358 runs batted in and 748 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate sits at .237. The Marlins have accrued 142 doubles as a team and have knocked 91 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 379 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .302. As a unit, the Miami Marlins are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 24th in baseball.

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The Marlins hold a team earned run average of 3.77 on the campaign (9th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 814 batters. They have walked 297 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.91 as a unit so far this season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.24. Marlins pitchers have given up 97 home runs and also 393 runs (11th in baseball).

The Marlins bullpen have a save percentage of 59.0% and has come into the game in 86 save situations. The relievers have inherited 109 runners on the year and 34.9% of those runners crossed home plate. Marlins pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 77 times as well as having 98 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have sent 316 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have 45 holds so far this season (21st in MLB). They have compiled 23 saves so far this year and have blown 16 of 39 save opportunities.

The Marlins have converted 70.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,503 innings, ranking them 11th in MLB. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 2,501 putouts this season, as well as 866 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which has them sitting 12th in pro baseball, and have 74 double plays.

Rogers has taken the mound for 245 innings and has accumulated 274 K's in his career. Rogers (12-19 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.43 while he has gone up against 1,060 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.00 (109 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.339. He has allowed 230 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 98 walks.

Cincinnati has a total of 88 home runs so far this season to go along with 384 RBIs. They have tallied 145 two-baggers, while taking a walk 259 times as well as recording 402 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have tallied a team OBP of .308 as well as a batting average of .239 on the campaign. The Reds hold a team slugging percentage of .378 and they score 4.32 runs per game (18th in MLB). They have been rung up on 820 instances (8th in the league) and have recorded 735 base hits.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 508 runs this year while holding an ERA of 5.31 (481 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 130 dingers and they relinquish 5.60 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.439 and have a FIP of 4.72 as a staff this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.29 (825 strikeouts against 360 bases on balls). They are sitting at 26th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 814.

Cincinnati has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 30 save chances and they have tallied 17 saves. They sit at 26th in baseball with a save rate of 56.7%, and they have dispatched 334 relievers onto the diamond on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 82 times in high leverage situations and on 96 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.8% out of their 148 inherited base runners. With 64 save situations, the Reds have earned 34 holds in addition to 13 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 56 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in the majors). The Reds have accrued 694 assists, 48 errors and have a tally of 2,448 putouts so far this season. In 7,344 innings on the diamond, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (26th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Castillo has allowed 661 hits and he has 852 strikeouts in 785 innings. Castillo (43-53 career mark) has earned a 3.62 earned run average while surrendering 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 316 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.206 and having a FIP of 3.7. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and he has gone up against 3,264 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-115)

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