Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/4/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, September 4, 2022

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

The Miami Marlins (55-75) are headed to Truist Park on Sunday where they will meet the Atlanta Braves (81-51). The pitchers who are expected to start are Pablo Lopez and Max Fried.

As a team, the Miami Marlins are notching 3.6 runs per contest, which ranks them 27th in MLB. They have 468 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .294. The Marlins have tallied 200 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 115 balls out of the park. They have accrued 443 RBI's in addition to 994 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate is sitting at .229. Miami has a slugging % of .363 and have been rung up 1,136 times, while being walked on 354 occasions.

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The Marlins hold a team ERA of 3.84 for the season (14th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,131 hitters. Their K/BB ratio is 2.77 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.27. Marlins pitchers have surrendered 131 home runs and 546 runs in total (14th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 409 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.85 as a team this year.

The Marlins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 57.1% and has entered the game in 116 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 149 runners so far this year with 35.6% of those players crossed the plate. Marlins relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 104 times and also have had 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The Marlins have dispatched 425 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have a total of 58 holds over the course of the season (21st in MLB). They have accumulated 32 saves this season and have blown 24 of 56 save opportunities.

The Marlins have converted 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 10,377 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 19th in the majors. The Miami Marlins have notched a total of 3,459 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,188 assists and 60 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them sitting 6th in the majors, and have a total of 108 double plays.

Lopez has thrown 476 innings and has accumulated 457 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.91 (207 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.189. He has surrendered 432 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 134 free passes. Lopez (26-29 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.79 while he has gone up against 1,973 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Braves have a team slugging % of .443 and they earn 4.92 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have hit 248 two-baggers, while walking 384 times as well as putting up 649 runs. Atlanta has knocked in 196 home runs this year and 619 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,224 occasions (2nd in the league) and have recorded 1,137 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated an on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .253 over the course of the season.

The Braves have a WHIP of 1.205 in addition to having a FIP of 3.44 as a squad over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 3.11 (1,261 strikeouts vs 406 bases on balls). They rank 8th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,018. They have allowed 117 HR's and they relinquish 3.87 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 508 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.50 (460 earned runs conceded).

Atlanta relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.3% of 161 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 147 times in high leverage situations and also on 111 occasions with runners on base. With 153 save situations, the Braves have accrued 81 holds in addition to 24 blown saves. They are ranked 14th in the league with a save percentage of 65.2%, and they have sent 411 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the season. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 69 save opportunities and they have come away with 45 saves.

In 10,644 innings played, the Braves are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (15th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 91 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (7th in the majors). The Braves have racked up 1,144 assists, 61 errors and have earned a total of 3,548 putouts on the campaign.

Thus far in his career, Fried has conceded 549 base knocks while tallying 590 strikeouts in 605 innings pitched. Fried (52-23 career mark) has earned a 3.14 earned run average and has given up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 211 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.181 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. His K/BB ratio is 3.55 and he has gone up against 2,487 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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