Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 10/1/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Saturday, October 1, 2022

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+185) Cleveland (-215)

The Cleveland Guardians (88-68) will try to beat the Kansas City Royals (63-93) at Progressive Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has Kansas City at +185 while Cleveland is priced at -215. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Kris Bubic and Aaron Civale.

The Royals have hit 242 doubles as a team and have knocked 131 balls out of the park. Kansas City has a slugging percentage of .381 and have been called out on strikes 1,234 times, while drawing a walk on 450 occasions. As a team, the Kansas City Royals are notching 3.9 runs per outing, which ranks them 24th in the league. They have accounted for 591 runs batted in in addition to 1,281 hits so far this year, while their team batting average comes in at .245. They have tallied 615 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .308.

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The Royals have an ERA of 4.71 this season (27th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,140 batters. They have a K/BB ratio of 1.98 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.47. Royals pitchers have surrendered 169 home runs in addition to 780 total runs (26th in MLB). They have walked 575 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.46 as a team on the year.

The Royals relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 60.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 138 save situations. The relievers have inherited 286 base runners on the campaign with 30.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. Royals relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 176 times and also have had 163 appearances in high leverage situations. The Royals have sent 542 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have accumulated 80 holds so far this year (15th in the league). They have recorded 32 saves this season and have blown 21 of 53 chances to get a save.

The Royals have converted 67.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 12,285 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 27th in MLB. The Kansas City Royals have a tally of 4,095 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,456 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which is 11th in pro baseball, and they have turned 147 double plays.

Bubic has pitched in 304 innings and has tallied 265 K's thus far in his career. His ERA is 4.97 (168 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.536. He has allowed 324 hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) and has 143 walks. Bubic (9-26 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.00 while he has gone up against 1,346 batters in the major leagues.

The Guardians hold a slugging % of .381 and they have an average of 4.28 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have put up 262 two-baggers, while walking 436 times and putting up 668 runs. Cleveland has hit 123 home runs on the year to go along with 633 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,071 occasions (30th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,351 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians hold a team on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .252 for the season.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.164 with a FIP of 3.77 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 6th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,206. The Cleveland pitching staff have surrendered 609 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.49 (543 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.15 (1,337 strikeouts vs 425 free passes). They have conceded 165 home runs and they allow 3.91 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball).

With 130 save situations, the Guardians have accrued 60 holds in addition to 18 blown saves. Cleveland has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 66 save chances and they have walked away with 48 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 165 times in high leverage situations and also on 133 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.2% of 178 inherited runners. They rank 3rd in baseball holding a save percentage of 72.7%, and they have sent 486 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

Out of their 12,609 innings on the field, the Guardians have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (6th in pro baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 124 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (22nd in baseball). The Guardians have recorded 1,389 assists, 91 errors and have accounted for 4,203 putouts this year.

So far in his career, Civale has surrendered 319 base knocks while totaling 298 punch outs in 341 innings pitched. He has surrendered 156 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.182 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.55 and he has gone up against 1,399 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Civale (22-21 career win-loss record) has a 4.12 earned run average and has conceded 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kansas City (+185)

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