Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/18/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, September 18, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Kansas City (+155) Boston (-180)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (70-74) will try to beat the Kansas City Royals (57-88) on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Kansas City at +155 and Boston is priced at -180. The total comes in at 10.5. The expected starting pitchers are Kris Bubic and Nick Pivetta.

As a team, the Kansas City Royals are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, which is 24th in baseball. They have 559 runs and have an on-base percentage of .305. The Royals have compiled 214 two-baggers as a team and have hit 121 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 537 RBI's and 1,167 base knocks this season, and their team batting average sits at .241. Kansas City has a slugging rate of .375 and have been called out on strikes 1,163 times, while taking a walk on 415 occasions.

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The Royals have an ERA of 4.70 for the season (27th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,062 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.99 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.47. Royals pitchers have given up 164 home runs and 725 runs (26th in the league). They have walked 535 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.51 as a unit this season.

Royals pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 161 times in addition to having 155 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 73 holds for the year (17th in the league). The Royals relief pitchers have a save rate of 60.9% and has come into the game in 123 save situations. They have tallied 28 saves this season and have blown 18 out of their 46 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 260 base runners so far this season and 29.2% of them crossed home plate. The Royals have dispatched 499 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Royals have turned 67.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,415 innings, which has them sitting at 27th in baseball. The Kansas City Royals are sitting with 3,805 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,357 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which puts them in 15th in baseball, and have a total of 132 double plays.

Bubic (9-25 career mark) sits with a FIP of 5.01 and he has gone up against 1,304 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 312 hits (9.5 hits per 9 innings) with 136 walks. His ERA is 4.85 (160 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.510. Bubic has taken the ball for 296 frames and has accounted for 257 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .409 and they average 4.55 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have hit 320 two-baggers, while getting a free base 421 times and putting up 655 runs. Boston has knocked in 136 home runs on the season as well as 626 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,232 occasions (13th in the league) and have tallied 1,281 hits. The Boston Red Sox have compiled an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a team batting average of .258 this year.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.327 with a FIP of 4.03 as a squad on the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.60 (1,205 strikeouts against 464 free passes). They come in at 24th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,237. They have conceded 154 homers and they surrender 4.84 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 690 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.43 (631 earned runs given up).

Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.4% out of their 219 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 168 times in high leverage situations and on 148 occasions with runners on. With 139 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 78 holds and 27 blown saves. They sit at 26th in baseball with a save percentage of 55.7%, and they have dispatched 518 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Boston has had relievers enter the contest in 61 save opportunities and they have come away with 34 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 117 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (16th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 1,306 assists, 74 errors and have earned a total of 3,846 putouts this season. In 11,538 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 68.7% (25th in baseball).

So far in his career, Pivetta has surrendered 717 hits while he has totaled 762 punch outs in 722 innings. He has surrendered a total of 399 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.380 and a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.73 and he has gone up against 3,114 opposing batters in his MLB career. Pivetta (39-49 career record) holds a 4.97 ERA while giving up 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-180)

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