Houston Astros vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Houston Astros vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, June 28, 2022

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+100) New York (-120)

The New York Mets (47-27) are welcoming the Houston Astros (45-27) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Astros at +100 while the Mets are opening at -120. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Luis Garcia and Carlos Carrasco.

The Astros have recorded 118 doubles as a team and have knocked 99 balls out of the stadium. Houston has a slugging percentage of .418 and have struck out 536 times, while drawing a walk on 254 occasions. As a squad, the Houston Astros are notching 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 18th in the league. They have 301 runs batted in as well as 566 base knocks for the season, and their average at the plate is at .238. They have racked up 309 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .317.

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The Astros have an ERA of 3.06 this season (3rd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 615 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.97 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.12. Astros pitchers have surrendered 63 home runs and 247 runs (3rd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 207 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.62 as a unit this year.

Astros relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 50 times and also have had 70 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 47 holds so far this year (8th in the league). The Astros relievers have recorded a save percentage of 77.8% and has come into the game in 74 save situations. They have accumulated 21 saves on the year and have blown 6 of their 27 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 74 base runners on the season with 27.0% of those players crossed home plate. The Astros have sent 222 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Astros have converted 72.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,730 innings, ranking them 2nd in baseball. The Houston Astros have notched a total of 1,910 putouts this year, in addition to 571 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them sitting 12th in MLB, and have a total of 51 double plays.

Garcia has taken the mound for 238 innings and has 250 strikeouts during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.51 (93 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.135. He has given up 197 base knocks (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 74 free passes. Garcia (16-14 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.80 while he has gone up against 972 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The New York Mets have accumulated an on-base percentage of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .259 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 564 occasions (25th in baseball) and have totaled 647 base knocks. New York has 71 long balls this season to go along with 349 RBIs. The Mets hold a slugging % of .402 and they earn 4.93 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have hit 114 doubles, while taking a walk 226 times as well as putting up 365 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.224 and have a FIP of 3.74 as a staff so far this year. They are currently ranked 15th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 585. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 298 runs this year while having an ERA of 3.86 (281 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.16 (685 strikeouts against 217 free passes). They have given up 79 HR's and they surrender 4.09 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

Sitting with 80 save situations, the Mets have earned 48 holds and 11 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 31 save chances and they have converted 20 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 63 times in high leverage situations and on 73 occasions with runners on base. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 41.2% out of 102 inherited runners. They rank 15th in the league with a save rate of 64.5%, and they have dispatched 229 relief pitchers onto the field this season.

Out of their 5,898 innings played, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (16th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 60 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 624 assists, 35 errors and have notched a total of 1,966 putouts for the year.

During his pro baseball career, Carrasco has surrendered 1,306 base hits while totaling 1,432 strikeouts in 1,373 innings. He has surrendered 594 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.211 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.01 and he has gone up against 5,682 opposing batters during his career. Carrasco (97-81 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.89 earned run average and has given up 8.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston (+100)

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