Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, July 28, 2022

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Cleveland (-110) Boston (-110)

The Boston Red Sox (49-49) are welcoming the Cleveland Guardians (49-47) at Fenway Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Guardians at -110 and the Red Sox open at -110. The total is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers will be Triston McKenzie and Kutter Crawford.

As a squad, the Cleveland Guardians are recording 4.4 runs per game, which is 15th in MLB. They have notched a total of 422 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .316. The Guardians have compiled 175 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 76 baseballs out of the park. They have 401 RBI's and 824 base knocks this season, and their batting average comes in at .253. Cleveland is slugging .388 and have been called out on strikes 673 times, while drawing a walk on 279 occasions.

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The Guardians have a team ERA of 3.88 for the year (11th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 781 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.81 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24. Guardians pitchers have allowed 104 home runs in addition to 409 runs in total (12th in the league). They have walked 278 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.00 as a unit on the year.

The Guardians have sent 296 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relievers have inherited 118 base runners on the season and 30.5% of those runners ended up scoring. They have tallied 23 saves for the year and have blown 11 of 34 chances to save the game. The Guardians relievers have a save percentage of 67.6% and has entered the game in 62 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 25 holds for the season (30th in the league). Guardians relief pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 81 times in addition to having 94 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cleveland Guardians have accounted for 2,545 putouts on the year, in addition to 877 assists and 57 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball, and have earned 77 double plays. The Guardians have converted 70.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,635 innings, which ranks them 12th in the majors.

McKenzie has thrown 260 frames and has tallied 278 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.98 (115 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.064. He has allowed 181 base knocks (6.3 hits per nine innings) and has 96 walks. McKenzie (14-16 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.37 while he has faced 1,041 batters during his time in the majors.

The Boston Red Sox hold an OBP of .316 in addition to a batting average of .255 this year. They have struck out on 817 occasions (18th in MLB) and have tallied 862 base hits. Boston has 97 home runs over the course of the season as well as 425 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team SLG% of .410 and they are earning 4.55 runs per game (12th in MLB). They have tallied 219 two-baggers, while getting a free base 281 times and recording 446 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.308 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.06 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.62 (836 strikeouts vs 319 walks). They are sitting at 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 824. They have allowed 107 HR's and they yield 4.75 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have surrendered 461 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.31 (419 earned runs surrendered).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 41 save chances and they have earned 20 saves. They sit at 30th in MLB with a save percentage of 48.8%, and they have sent 365 relievers to the hill so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 114 times in high leverage situations and on 108 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 36.3% out of their 157 inherited base runners. With 99 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 58 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

In 7,869 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (21st in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 86 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 868 assists, 57 errors and have a total of 2,623 putouts on the season.

In his pro baseball career, Crawford has conceded 44 base hits while tallying 50 K's in 44 innings. Crawford (2-4 win-loss record in his career) has a 5.32 earned run average and has surrendered 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has given up 26 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.409 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.78 and he has faced 191 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-110)

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