Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/18/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Sunday, September 18, 2022

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+250) St. Louis (-300)

The Cincinnati Reds (57-87) are en route to Busch Stadium on Sunday where they will take on the St. Louis Cardinals (85-60). The odds on this game have the Reds at +250 while the Cardinals are at -300. The over/under is set at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Luis Cessa and Jordan Montgomery.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 4.2 runs/g, which ranks them 18th in the league. They have accounted for 610 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .308. The Reds have tallied 215 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 145 baseballs out of the park. They have 584 runs batted in and 1,153 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate is at .240. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .382 and have been called out on strikes 1,266 times, while being walked on 407 occasions.

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Reds pitchers have surrendered 196 home runs and 732 runs in total (28th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 534 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.62 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.36 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.40. The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.91 over the course of the season (28th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,261 batters.

Reds pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 150 times and also have had 132 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 53 holds over the course of the season (27th in MLB). The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 56.3% and has come into the game in 102 save situations. They have earned 27 saves this season and have blown 21 out of their 48 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 229 base runners on the campaign with 34.5% of those runners crossed the plate. The Reds have sent 514 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Reds have turned 68.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,391 innings on the field, which has them ranked 24th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 3,797 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,134 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 13th in baseball, and they have turned 98 double plays.

Cessa has taken the ball for 378 frames and has accounted for 310 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.21 (177 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.277. He has conceded 363 hits (8.6 hits per nine innings) and has 120 walks. Cessa (15-17 career record) has a FIP of 4.69 while he has gone up against 1,588 batters during his time in the majors.

The St. Louis Cardinals have compiled an OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .256 for the year. They have struck out on 1,095 instances (26th in MLB) and have 1,261 base hits. St. Louis has a total of 182 home runs so far this year as well as 680 RBIs. The Cardinals have a team SLG% of .428 and they have an average of 4.88 runs per outing (4th in the league). They have 260 doubles, while walking 476 times as well as racking up 707 runs.

The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 580 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.85 (550 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 135 homers and they give up 4.06 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.274 in addition to having a FIP of 3.99 as a staff for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.41 (1,047 strikeouts vs 434 free passes). They come in at 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,204.

Sitting with 113 save situations, the Cardinals have recorded 62 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. St. Louis has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 51 save opportunities and they have come away with 35 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 119 times in high leverage situations in addition to 145 occasions with runners on base. St. Louis bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.8% of 221 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 10th in the league with a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have sent 417 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

In their 11,580 innings on the field, the Cardinals have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (9th in MLB). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 162 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (1st in baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 1,547 assists, 60 errors and have amassed 3,860 putouts for the year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Montgomery has surrendered 511 hits while he has accumulated 522 strikeouts in 551 innings pitched. Montgomery (27-21 career mark) has earned a 3.77 ERA while giving up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 231 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.209 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.37 and he has gone up against 2,295 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+250)

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