Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 9/16/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Friday, September 16, 2022

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+235) St. Louis (-280)

The St. Louis Cardinals (84-59) are hosting the Cincinnati Reds (56-86) at Busch Stadium on Friday. The line on this matchup has Cincinnati at +235 and St. Louis is priced at -280. The over/under is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Justin Dunn and Jack Flaherty.

Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .382 and have struck out 1,252 times, while being walked on 398 occasions. They have 576 runs batted in as well as 1,138 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .240. The Reds have recorded 210 doubles as a unit and have knocked 142 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 602 runs and have an on-base percentage of .308. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in MLB.

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The Reds hold a team ERA of 4.92 so far this season (28th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,244 batters. They have walked 527 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.64 as a team over the course of the season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.36 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.40. Reds pitchers have conceded 195 home runs in addition to 724 total runs (28th in baseball).

The Reds have dispatched 505 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 226 runners for the year with 35.0% of those players crossed home plate. They have 26 saves so far this year and have missed out on 20 out of their 46 save opportunities. The Reds relievers have a save percentage of 56.5% and has come into the game in 98 save situations. The relievers have earned 51 holds so far this season (29th in MLB). Reds relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 147 times as well as having 129 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have transformed 68.7% of balls in play into outs out of 10,914 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 25th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 3,638 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,092 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding rate is at .987 which ranks 8th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 96 double plays.

Dunn has taken the ball for 133 innings and has earned 113 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.44 (66 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.406. He has conceded 102 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 86 walks. Dunn (6-7 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 6.23 while he has faced 584 batters in the major leagues.

The Cardinals hold a team slugging % of .429 and they have an average of 4.89 runs per contest (4th in baseball). They have 255 two-baggers, while taking a walk 469 times and scoring 699 runs. St. Louis has 181 long balls on the year to go along with 673 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,078 occasions (26th in baseball) and have tallied 1,249 base hits. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated an OBP of .328 as well as a team batting average of .257 so far this season.

The Cardinals have a team WHIP of 1.273 in addition to having a FIP of 3.97 as a staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.43 (1,033 strikeouts vs 425 bases on balls). They are sitting at 19th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,189. They have given up 132 homers and they concede 4.06 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The St. Louis pitching staff have surrendered 572 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.85 (542 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 111 save situations, the Cardinals have 61 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. St. Louis has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 50 save opportunities and they have tallied 34 saves. Their relievers have come in 115 times in high leverage situations and on 144 occasions with runners on. St. Louis relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 35.2% out of their 219 inherited runners. They sit at 12th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.0%, and they have dispatched 410 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 159 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (1st in the majors). The Cardinals have racked up 1,510 assists, 58 errors and have earned 3,752 putouts on the season. In 11,256 innings played, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (9th in professional baseball).

In his MLB career, Flaherty has surrendered 376 hits while totaling 579 K's in 505 frames. Flaherty (32-25 career win-loss record) has a 3.38 ERA while allowing 6.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 190 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.100 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.22 and he has faced 2,061 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+235)

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