Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 9/28/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Wednesday, September 28, 2022

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+115) Pittsburgh (-135)

PNC Park is where the Pittsburgh Pirates (57-97) will try to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (60-94) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have Cincinnati at +115 while Pittsburgh is at -135. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Luis Cessa and Bryse Wilson.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 22nd in MLB. They have racked up 633 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .306. The Reds have compiled 225 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 152 baseballs out of the stadium. They have amassed 606 RBI's and 1,217 hits on the year, while their batting average is at .237. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .377 and have struck out 1,359 times, while drawing a walk on 432 occasions.

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The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.84 on the campaign (28th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,343 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.34 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.39. Reds pitchers have allowed 207 long balls and 773 runs (27th in the league). They have walked 575 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.62 as a squad on the season.

The Reds relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 57.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 111 save situations. The relievers have inherited 244 base runners on the season and 34.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 160 times in addition to having 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 549 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have tallied 58 holds over the course of the season (28th in baseball). They have tallied 30 saves this season and have not converted 22 of their 52 chances to save the game.

The Reds have turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,192 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 24th in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have 4,064 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,230 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them ranked 13th in MLB, and have a total of 111 double plays.

Cessa has taken the hill for 388 innings and is sitting with 314 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Cessa (16-18 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.68 while facing 1,629 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.15 (179 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.278. He has given up 370 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 126 walks.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a team OBP of .289 and a team batting average of .221 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,438 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have a total of 1,119 base knocks. Pittsburgh has recorded 155 long balls this year to go along with 524 runs batted in. The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .364 and they are recording 3.62 runs per game (27th in baseball). They have tallied 204 two-baggers, while taking a walk 444 times as well as putting up 557 runs.

The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.428 in addition to having a FIP of 4.29 as a squad on the season. They are currently ranked 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,369. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have relinquished 780 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 4.70 (705 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.14 (1,194 strikeouts against 558 free passes). They have surrendered 158 dingers and they allow 5.20 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league).

Pittsburgh has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 56 save chances and they have tallied 30 saves. They rank 29th in the league holding a save rate of 53.6%, and they have dispatched 476 relievers onto the diamond on the year. Their relief pitchers have come in 149 times in high leverage situations and on 143 occasions with base runners. Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.5% out of 218 inherited runners. With 124 save situations, the Pirates have amassed 65 holds and also 26 blown saves.

In their 12,141 innings played, the Pirates are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (29th in pro baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 144 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in MLB). The Pirates have 1,424 assists, 113 errors and have earned 4,047 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Wilson has given up 263 base hits and he has 155 punch outs in 221 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 141 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.534 and having a FIP of 5.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.04 and he has faced 987 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Wilson (9-17 record in his career) has a 5.74 ERA while conceding 10.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-135)

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