Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 8/25/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, August 25, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+255) Philadelphia (-305)

The Philadelphia Phillies (68-55) welcome the Cincinnati Reds (48-73) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Reds at +255 while the Phillies are at -305. The over/under comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Justin Dunn and Aaron Nola.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.3 runs per outing, which puts them at 19th in baseball. They have earned a total of 516 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .309. The Reds have tallied 183 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 114 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 495 RBI's and 968 hits so far this year, and their batting average sits at .241. Cincinnati is slugging .377 and have been rung up 1,083 times, while being walked on 340 occasions.

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Reds pitchers have surrendered 164 long balls in addition to 626 runs in total (27th in MLB). They have walked 450 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.62 as a team so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.37 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.41. The Reds hold a team ERA of 5.02 so far this season (28th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,065 batters.

The Reds relievers have a save rate of 55.8% and has entered the game in 93 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 188 base runners this year with 35.1% of them crossed the plate. Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 125 times as well as having 110 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have sent 430 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 50 holds for the season (25th in MLB). They have recorded 24 saves on the campaign and have blown 19 out of their 43 save opportunities.

The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 3,185 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 937 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 16th in the majors, and have accumulated 76 double plays. The Reds have turned 68.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,555 innings, which has them sitting 26th in the majors.

Dunn has taken the hill for 116 innings and has racked up 102 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.19 (54 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.397. He has given up 85 base knocks (6.6 hits per 9 innings) with 77 free passes. Dunn (6-5 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 5.94 while he has faced 507 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

The Philadelphia Phillies have compiled an on-base percentage of .314 in addition to a team batting average of .251 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,038 instances (15th in the league) and have 1,051 hits. Philadelphia has hit 159 HRs for the season as well as 547 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .421 and they are scoring 4.63 runs per contest (7th in baseball). They have put up 192 doubles, while walking 356 times as well as putting up 569 runs.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.224 with a FIP of 3.62 as a unit this season. They have a ranking of 10th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 978. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 500 runs for the year while having an ERA of 3.76 (456 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.01 (1,078 strikeouts vs 358 walks). They have conceded 112 homers and they yield 4.12 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball).

Philadelphia has had relievers enter the contest in 47 save chances and they have walked away with 33 saves. They rank 7th in the league holding a save rate of 70.2%, and they have sent 394 relief pitchers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 119 times in high leverage situations and on 104 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.6% out of 156 inherited base runners. With 108 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 60 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 103 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (4th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 1,065 assists, 54 errors and are sitting with 3,275 putouts for the year. Out of their 9,825 innings on the field, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (16th in professional baseball).

Nola (75-59 career record) holds a 3.62 earned run average while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.13 and he has faced 4,831 batters during his MLB career. He has conceded 475 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.131 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. During his pro baseball career, Nola has surrendered 1,017 base knocks while he has earned 1,319 punch outs in 1,181 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-305)

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