Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/14/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees
Date: Thursday, July 14, 2022
Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY
TV: YES
Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+140) New York (-165)
The New York Yankees (61-26) are hosting the Cincinnati Reds (33-54) at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Reds at +140 and the Yankees are coming in at -165. The over/under has been set at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Luis Castillo and Nestor Cortes Jr.
Cincinnati is slugging .377 and have been called out on strikes 767 times, while being walked on 240 occasions. They have tallied 354 runs batted in and 688 base knocks for the season, while their batting average comes in at .239. The Reds have compiled 138 doubles as a team and have hit 80 baseballs out of the stadium. They have a total of 371 runs scored and have an OBP of .308. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which ranks them 19th in the league.
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The Reds have an ERA of 5.27 so far this season (30th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 760 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.33 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.42. Reds pitchers have given up 120 home runs and also 466 runs in total (28th in baseball). They have walked 326 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.66 as a team on the campaign.
The Reds have sent 306 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 140 runners so far this year and 40.0% of those players ended up scoring. They have 16 saves so far this season and have blown 11 of their 27 chances to save the game. The Reds relievers have accumulated a save rate of 59.3% and has entered the game in 59 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 32 holds for the season (28th in MLB). Reds bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 90 times and also have had 75 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 2,261 putouts this year, as well as 644 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which puts them in 16th in baseball, and have a total of 52 double plays. The Reds have converted 68.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,783 innings on the field, ranking them 26th in pro baseball.
Castillo (43-53 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.70 while he has gone up against 3,236 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 659 base hits (7.6 hits per nine innings) with 282 free passes. His ERA is 3.64 (315 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.209. Castillo has taken the ball for 778 innings and has accumulated 844 K's during his MLB career.
The New York Yankees have earned an on-base percentage of .328 and a team batting average of .245 for the season. They have struck out on 721 occasions (20th in MLB) and have 709 base knocks. New York has recorded 146 home runs this year and 430 runs batted in. The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .442 and they score 5.21 runs per game (1st in baseball). They have hit 122 two-baggers, while getting a free base 337 times as well as putting up 453 runs.
The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.082 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.40 as a unit over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.53 (795 strikeouts vs 225 bases on balls). They come in at 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 620. They have allowed 80 HR's and they allow 3.19 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The New York pitching staff have given up 277 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.05 (265 earned runs surrendered).
New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 43 save opportunities and they have earned 30 saves. They sit at 9th in the league holding a save percentage of 69.8%, and they have sent 262 relievers onto the field for the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 99 times in high leverage situations and on 88 occasions with runners on. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 31.7% out of their 123 inherited base runners. With 102 save situations, the Yankees have 55 holds in addition to 13 blown saves.
In their 6,948 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (2nd in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 50 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in baseball). The Yankees have 797 assists, 38 errors and have a total of 2,316 putouts on the campaign.
Cortes Jr (14-8 record in his career) has a 4.01 earned run average while surrendering 8.4 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.31 and he has gone up against 1,095 batters in his pro baseball career. He has given up 116 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.251 and a FIP of 4.6. During his pro baseball career, Cortes Jr has allowed 242 base hits while he has totaled 278 K's in 260 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-165)
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Additional Resources:
New York Yankees - Twitter
Cincinnati Reds - Twitter