Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/30/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, September 30, 2022

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

The Cincinnati Reds (60-96) are traveling to Wrigley Field on Friday where they will compete against the Chicago Cubs (69-86). The pitchers taking the mound will be Graham Ashcraft and Wade Miley.

The Reds have accounted for 227 doubles as a squad and have knocked 154 balls out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .376 and have been called out on strikes 1,375 times, while drawing a walk on 436 occasions. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.1 runs per outing, which has them at 22nd in the league. They have 609 runs batted in as well as 1,230 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is .237. They have a total of 637 runs while holding a team OBP of .305.

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The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.82 so far this season (28th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,364 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 584 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.59 as a unit on the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.34 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.39. Reds pitchers have given up 207 long balls and also 781 runs in total (27th in the league).

The Reds have dispatched 554 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 244 runners over the course of the season and 34.0% of those runners crossed home plate. They have earned 30 saves for the year and have blown 22 of their 52 chances to save the game. The Reds relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.7% and has come into the game in 111 save situations. The relievers have tallied 58 holds over the course of the season (28th in baseball). Reds pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 160 times and also have had 141 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cincinnati Reds have notched a total of 4,117 putouts thus far, as well as 1,245 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which puts them in 13th in professional baseball, and have 112 double plays. The Reds have turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,351 innings, which has them sitting at 23rd in pro baseball.

Ashcraft has taken the ball for 97 innings and is sitting with 66 punch outs in his career. Ashcraft (5-4 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.02 and he has gone up against 423 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.18 (45 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.361. He has surrendered 109 base knocks (10.1 hits per nine innings) with 23 free passes.

The Cubs hold a team SLG% of .386 and they are scoring 4.01 runs per game (23rd in baseball). They have 248 two-baggers, while taking a walk 474 times and scoring 621 runs. Chicago has accumulated 153 home runs for the season and 586 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,389 instances (6th in MLB) and have 1,245 hits. The Chicago Cubs have accumulated an on-base percentage of .310 and a batting average of .239 for the season.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.318 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.41 as a unit this season. They sit at 20th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,302. The Chicago pitching staff have given up 720 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.12 (633 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.54 (1,321 strikeouts vs 520 walks). They have allowed 205 homers and they surrender 4.69 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league).

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 29.6% out of 223 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 180 times in high leverage situations and also on 160 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 131 save situations, the Cubs have accrued 55 holds in addition to 30 blown saves. They are ranked 20th in the league with a save percentage of 58.3%, and they have dispatched 507 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Chicago has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 72 save opportunities and they have tallied 42 saves.

In their 12,444 innings played, the Cubs hold a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (17th in the majors). The Chicago Cubs have turned 136 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in professional baseball). The Cubs have accrued 1,402 assists, 93 errors and have earned 4,148 putouts so far this year.

Miley (98-94 career record) has a 4.13 earned run average while allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and he has gone up against 6,937 hitters so far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 742 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.377 and having a FIP of 4.1. Thus far in his career, Miley has allowed 1,663 base knocks while he has totaled 1,280 strikeouts in 1,616 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago

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