Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 10/2/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+155) Chicago (-180)

The Cincinnati Reds (60-97) are headed to Wrigley Field on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Chicago Cubs (71-86). The moneyline on this game has Cincinnati at +155 while Chicago is sitting at -180. The total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Chase Anderson and Marcus Stroman.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 22nd in MLB. They have tallied 638 runs and have an OBP of .305. The Reds have recorded 227 doubles as a unit and have hit 155 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 610 runs batted in as well as 1,234 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is at .236. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .375 and have been called out on strikes 1,382 times, while taking a walk on 438 occasions.

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Reds pitchers have surrendered 207 long balls and also 787 runs in total (28th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 587 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.59 as a team so far this year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.33 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.39. The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 4.83 for the year (28th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,368 batters.

The Reds relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 57.7% and has entered the game in 111 save situations. The relievers have inherited 245 base runners this year and 33.9% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 161 times as well as having 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 555 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 58 holds on the year (28th in baseball). They have accumulated 30 saves on the campaign and have not converted 22 of 52 save opportunities.

The Reds have converted 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,423 innings, which has them ranked 23rd in baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have 4,141 putouts this year, in addition to 1,254 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which is 14th in baseball, and they have turned 112 double plays.

Anderson (58-49 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.66 and he has faced 4,039 hitters in the majors. He has conceded 910 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 322 free passes. His ERA is 4.21 (450 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.281. Anderson has taken the ball for 961 innings and has earned 817 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Cubs hold a team SLG% of .386 and they average 4.01 runs per outing (23rd in baseball). They have tallied 256 doubles, while getting a free base 482 times as well as putting up 629 runs. Chicago has knocked in 153 home runs this year to go along with 593 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,402 occasions (6th in the league) and have accounted for 1,260 hits. The Chicago Cubs have recorded an OBP of .311 and a batting average of .239 so far this year.

The Cubs hold a team WHIP of 1.313 with a FIP of 4.40 as a team so far this season. They are currently ranked 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,312. The Chicago pitching staff have yielded 721 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.08 (634 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.54 (1,335 strikeouts vs 526 free passes). They have conceded 206 homers and they concede 4.63 runs per 9 innings (21st in MLB).

Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 73 save chances and they have tallied 43 saves. They are ranked 20th in the league holding a save rate of 58.9%, and they have sent 511 relief pitchers onto the field this season. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 181 times in high leverage situations in addition to 161 occasions with runners on. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score rate of 29.3% of 225 inherited base runners. With 133 save situations, the Cubs have recorded 56 holds in addition to 30 blown saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 137 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in pro baseball). The Cubs have 1,415 assists, 93 errors and have 4,202 putouts so far this season. In 12,606 innings on the field, the Cubs have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (15th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, Stroman has surrendered 1,132 base knocks while totaling 965 strikeouts in 1,161 innings. Stroman (66-67 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.64 ERA while conceding 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 469 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.252 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and he has faced 4,823 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (-180)

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