Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 9/25/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, September 25, 2022

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-120) Pittsburgh (+100)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (55-96) will take on the Chicago Cubs (66-85) at PNC Park on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Cubs at -120 while the Pirates are priced at +100. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Adrian Sampson and Luis Ortiz.

As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.0 runs per outing, which puts them at 23rd in the league. They have racked up 607 runs scored while having a team OBP of .312. The Cubs have tallied 245 doubles as a squad and have knocked 150 baseballs out of the park. They have accrued 574 RBI's as well as 1,217 hits on the season, and their team batting average comes in at .240. Chicago has a slugging % of .388 and have struck out 1,347 times, while drawing a walk on 468 occasions.

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The Cubs have an ERA of 4.18 this season (21st in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,291 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.32. Cubs pitchers have given up 203 long balls and 708 runs in total (23rd in baseball). They have walked 511 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.44 as a unit so far this season.

The Cubs have dispatched 496 relief pitchers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 212 base runners for the year and 30.2% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 39 saves so far this season and have blown 30 of their 69 save opportunities. The Cubs bullpen have earned a save percentage of 56.5% and stepped onto the hill in 124 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 51 holds so far this season (30th in the league). Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 153 times and also have had 175 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago Cubs have notched a total of 4,043 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,366 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them sitting 23rd in MLB, and have 131 double plays. The Cubs have transformed 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,129 innings, which has them sitting 16th in baseball.

Sampson (9-19 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 5.15 while he has faced 1,192 hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 308 base hits (10.0 hits per nine innings) with 73 walks. His earned run average is 4.58 (141 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.375. Sampson has pitched in 277 innings and has totaled 207 strikeouts during his MLB career.

Pittsburgh has tallied 153 home runs this year as well as 509 runs batted in. They have hit 198 two-baggers, while getting a free base 434 times and putting up 540 runs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a team OBP of .287 as well as a batting average of .220 so far this season. The Pirates hold a team slugging % of .364 and they average 3.58 runs per contest (28th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,417 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have earned 1,093 base hits.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 769 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.74 (696 earned runs allowed). They have given up 155 dingers and they concede 5.24 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.438 in addition to having a FIP of 4.31 as a team so far this year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.10 (1,161 strikeouts vs 552 bases on balls). They are sitting at 27th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,349.

Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score percentage of 38.4% out of their 216 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 149 times in high leverage situations and on 141 occasions with base runners. With 124 save situations, the Pirates have compiled 65 holds and 26 blown saves. They sit at 29th in baseball with a save percentage of 53.6%, and they have dispatched 468 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Pittsburgh has called on relievers to enter the game in 56 save opportunities and they have tallied 30 saves.

Out of their 11,898 innings on the field, the Pirates are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.5% (29th in pro baseball). The Pittsburgh Pirates have gotten 144 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in baseball). The Pirates have 1,408 assists, 108 errors and have accounted for 3,966 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Ortiz has allowed 4 hits and he has 10 K's in 10 innings pitched. Ortiz (0-0 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 0.84 earned run average and has surrendered 3.4 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 1 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.844 and having a FIP of 2.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.00 and he has faced 42 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (-120)

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