Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/24/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, July 24, 2022

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+120) Philadelphia (-140)

The Philadelphia Phillies (49-44) will try to beat the Chicago Cubs (36-57) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has Chicago at +120 and Philadelphia is at -140. The betting total is set at 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Drew Smyly and Aaron Nola.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are earning 4.3 runs/g, which is 19th in MLB. They have earned a total of 401 runs and have an on-base percentage of .321. The Cubs have hit 160 doubles as a squad and have hit 92 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 376 runs batted in as well as 780 hits on the season, and their batting average is .246. Chicago owns a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 826 times, while taking a walk on 313 occasions.

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The Cubs have a team earned run average of 4.55 so far this year (25th in the league), and they have rung up 813 hitters. They have walked 319 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.39 as a unit on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.55 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.35. Cubs pitchers have given up 124 home runs in addition to 474 total runs (25th in baseball).

The Cubs have dispatched 318 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 130 base runners on the season and 29.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 19 saves so far this year and have blown 17 of their 36 save opportunities. The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 52.8% and has stepped onto the mound in 67 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 28 holds so far this season (29th in MLB). Cubs relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 96 times in addition to having 103 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Cubs have converted 68.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,497 innings on the field, which has them sitting 23rd in the majors. The Chicago Cubs have amassed 2,499 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 846 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .982 which is 28th in MLB, and have a total of 81 double plays.

Smyly has taken the ball for 886 innings and is sitting with 870 strikeouts thus far in his career. Smyly (48-44 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.32 and he has faced 3,734 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.18 (412 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.279. He has given up 856 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 278 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .311 as well as a batting average of .245 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 786 occasions (17th in MLB) and have 772 base hits. Philadelphia has accumulated 122 long balls this year as well as 414 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .417 and they average 4.66 runs per game (7th in the league). They have recorded 148 doubles, while walking 288 times and recording 433 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 384 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.82 (350 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 88 HR's and they allow 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.232 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.68 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.97 (815 strikeouts vs 274 walks). They are sitting at 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 742.

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.8% out of 135 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 91 times in high leverage situations and also on 90 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 84 save situations, the Phillies have 50 holds and 10 blown saves. They are ranked 10th in baseball with a save percentage of 69.7%, and they have dispatched 306 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 33 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves.

In their 7,425 innings on the field, the Phillies have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in pro baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 74 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (8th in pro baseball). The Phillies have 816 assists, 44 errors and have earned 2,475 putouts this season.

In his pro baseball career, Nola has surrendered 987 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,282 strikeouts in 1,150 frames. He has allowed 462 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.130 and having a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 4.10 and he has faced 4,703 batters during his MLB career. Nola (73-56 career mark) has a 3.62 ERA and has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+120)

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