Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/4/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, July 4, 2022

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

American Family Field is the location where the Milwaukee Brewers (45-35) will attempt to beat the Chicago Cubs (32-46) on Monday. The starting pitchers will be Justin Steele and Eric Lauer.

Chicago is slugging .402 and have been called out on strikes 668 times, while being walked on 269 occasions. They have recorded 321 runs batted in as well as 654 hits on the campaign, while their batting average sits at .250. The Cubs have accounted for 134 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 78 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 342 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are recording 4.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 14th in MLB.

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Cubs pitchers have allowed 107 home runs in addition to 407 runs in total (27th in baseball). They have walked 255 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.41 as a team on the campaign. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.67 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.36. The Cubs hold a team ERA of 4.84 for the year (26th in the league), and the staff has struck out 680 hitters.

Cubs pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 72 times and also have had 75 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 24 holds this season (29th in MLB). The Cubs bullpen have earned a save percentage of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 55 save situations. They have earned 16 saves on the campaign and have blown 12 of their 28 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 100 base runners so far this year with 32.0% of those players earned a run for their team. The Cubs have sent 256 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign.

The Cubs have turned 68.1% of balls in play into outs out of 6,177 innings, which ranks them 27th in the majors. The Chicago Cubs have 2,059 putouts thus far, in addition to 691 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which has them ranked 21st in pro baseball, and have a total of 67 double plays.

Steele (7-9 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.42 and he has faced 556 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 121 base knocks (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 59 free passes. His ERA is 4.33 (61 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.421. Steele has taken the mound for 126 innings and has racked up 126 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Brewers have a team slugging % of .416 and they have an average of 4.66 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have put up 121 doubles, while getting a free base 271 times as well as notching 368 runs. Milwaukee has a total of 110 home runs this season as well as 359 runs batted in. They have struck out on 691 occasions (5th in the league) and have earned 627 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have accumulated an OBP of .316 as well as a batting average of .238 for the season.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.235 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.80 as a unit on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.91 (731 strikeouts vs 251 walks). They rank 12th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 611. They have allowed 85 dingers and they allow 4.25 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have relinquished 330 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (292 earned runs surrendered).

Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.6% of 87 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 91 times in high leverage situations in addition to 54 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Brewers have accrued 55 holds in addition to 8 blown saves. They rank 1st in the league holding a save rate of 79.5%, and they have dispatched 250 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers take the mound in 39 save chances and they have tallied 31 saves.

In 6,285 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 59 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (18th in MLB). The Brewers have racked up 699 assists, 46 errors and have notched a total of 2,095 putouts for the year.

In his career, Lauer has allowed 467 base knocks while he has earned 447 punch outs in 469 innings pitched. Lauer (27-27 career win-loss record) has a 4.23 earned run average while giving up 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 221 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.361 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and he has faced 2,034 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago

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