Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 10/4/2022 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, October 4, 2022

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-115) Cincinnati (-105)

The Cincinnati Reds (60-99) will try to defeat the Chicago Cubs (73-86) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Chicago at -115 and Cincinnati opens at -105. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Javier Assad and Luis Cessa.

Chicago has a slugging % of .386 and have struck out 1,410 times, while taking a walk on 488 occasions. They have tallied 595 runs batted in and 1,263 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is .239. The Cubs have earned 256 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 154 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 631 runs while having a team OBP of .311. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are knocking in 4.0 runs per game, which ranks them 23rd in MLB.

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The Cubs have a team earned run average of 4.06 so far this year (21st in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,342 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 527 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.38 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.55 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Cubs pitchers have given up 206 long balls and also 722 runs in total (21st in baseball).

The Cubs relief pitchers have a save rate of 59.5% and has come into the game in 135 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 226 runners on the season and 29.2% of those players ended up scoring. Cubs relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 162 times as well as having 184 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 515 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have 57 holds so far this year (30th in the league). They have recorded 44 saves on the campaign and have blown 30 out of their 74 save opportunities.

The Cubs have transformed 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,687 innings on the diamond, ranking them 15th in professional baseball. The Chicago Cubs have a total of 4,229 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,424 assists and 94 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which is 24th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 137 double plays.

Assad has taken the ball for 32 innings and is sitting with 26 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 3.62 (13 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.546. He has given up 31 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 19 free passes. Assad (2-2 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.88 and he has gone up against 146 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Cincinnati Reds have tallied a team OBP of .304 in addition to a batting average of .236 for the season. They have struck out on 1,389 instances (9th in MLB) and have recorded 1,238 base hits. Cincinnati has hit 155 HRs for the year and 611 RBIs. The Reds have a team slugging % of .374 and they are scoring 4.04 runs per game (22nd in the league). They have recorded 229 two-baggers, while walking 439 times as well as racking up 639 runs.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.390 and have a FIP of 4.59 as a team for the season. They are sitting at 22nd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,336. The Cincinnati pitching staff have relinquished 789 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.81 (742 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.32 (1,376 strikeouts against 593 free passes). They have allowed 208 home runs and they concede 5.12 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB).

Sitting with 111 save situations, the Reds have 58 holds and also 22 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 52 save chances and they have earned 30 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 141 times in high leverage situations and on 162 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.7% out of their 246 inherited base runners. They sit at 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.7%, and they have sent 557 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 112 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Reds have 1,263 assists, 79 errors and have a total of 4,165 putouts for the season. In 12,495 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (22nd in MLB).

Cessa (16-18 career mark) has earned a 4.16 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.47 and he has faced 1,655 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 182 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.279 and having a FIP of 4.7. In his MLB career, Cessa has given up 376 hits while earning 316 punch outs in 394 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-105)

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